Shenzhen Senior Technology Material Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Shenzhen Senior Technology Material Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
It's shaping up to be a tough period for Shenzhen Senior Technology Material Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300568), which a week ago released some disappointing quarterly results that could have a notable impact on how the market views the stock. It looks like quite a negative result overall, with both revenues and earnings falling well short of analyst predictions. Revenues of CN¥939m missed by 14%, and statutory earnings per share of CN¥0.10 fell short of forecasts by 67%. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Shenzhen Senior Technology Material after the latest results.
这对于星源材质(股票代码SZSE:300568)来说,正在度过一个艰难的时期。一周前,该公司发布了一些令人失望的季度业绩,这可能会对市场对该股票的看法产生显著影响。总体上看,这似乎是一个相当负面的结果,营业收入和收益都远低于分析师的预测。人民币93900万元的营业收入低于预期14%,每股收益人民币0.10元,比预测低了67%。在发布业绩之后,分析师们已经更新了他们的盈利模型,了解他们是否认为公司前景发生了重大变化,还是一切照旧将是好事。读者们会很高兴知道,我们已经汇总了最新的法定预测,以查看分析师们在最新业绩后是否改变了对星源材质的看法。
![1725150872752](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240901/43152464-0-73e54abd1c64e46aeab2b5cf6cbd671f.webp/bigjpg)
Following the latest results, Shenzhen Senior Technology Material's ten analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥3.88b in 2024. This would be a solid 17% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to step up 15% to CN¥0.38. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥4.09b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.66 in 2024. The analysts seem less optimistic after the recent results, reducing their revenue forecasts and making a pretty serious reduction to earnings per share numbers.
在最新的业绩发布后,星源材质的十位分析师预测2024年的营业收入为人民币38.8亿。相比过去12个月,这将是营业收入实现的稳固17%的提升。预计每股收益将提高15%,达到人民币0.38。在此报告发布之前,分析师们一直在预测2024年的营业收入为人民币40.9亿,每股收益(EPS)为人民币0.66。最近的业绩发布后,分析师们似乎不太乐观,降低了他们的营业收入预测,并严重削减了每股收益的数字。
Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the CN¥11.43 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Shenzhen Senior Technology Material, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥21.00 and the most bearish at CN¥5.20 per share. With such a wide range in price targets, analysts are almost certainly betting on widely divergent outcomes in the underlying business. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.
尽管对预期收益进行了削减,但对人民币11.43的目标股价并没有实质性的变化,这表明分析师们认为这些变化对其内在价值没有实质影响。然而,这并不是我们从这些数据中能得出的唯一结论,因为一些投资者在评估分析师的股价预测时也喜欢考虑估值的差异。关于星源材质,存在一些不同的看法,最看好的分析师认为其每股价值为人民币21.00,而最看淡的为人民币5.20。由于股价目标有如此大的范围,分析师们几乎可以肯定地在基本业务的预期结果上打赌有着广泛的分歧。考虑到这一点,我们不应过于依赖共识价格目标,因为这只是一个平均值,而分析师对该业务显然有着一些深刻的不同看法。
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Shenzhen Senior Technology Material's past performance and to peers in the same industry. The period to the end of 2024 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 37% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 34% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 15% annually. So although Shenzhen Senior Technology Material is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.
这些估计很有趣,但是在比较预测时,看看深圳星源材质过去的表现和同行业的同行是很有用的。根据分析师的预测,到2024年底,收入预计以年平均37%的增长率显示。这与其过去五年34%的年均增长率相符。与此相比,整个行业的预测收入年均增长15%。因此,尽管深圳星源材质预计将保持其收入增长率,但肯定预计比整个行业增长更快。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. They also downgraded Shenzhen Senior Technology Material's revenue estimates, but industry data suggests that it is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥11.43, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
最重要的是,分析师下调了每股收益的预测,表明在这些结果公布后,情绪出现明显下滑。他们还下调了深圳星源材质的营业收入预测,但行业数据显示,预计他们的增长速度将比整个行业更快。共识目标价保持在11.43元人民币,最新的预测不足以影响他们的目标价。
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Shenzhen Senior Technology Material. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Shenzhen Senior Technology Material going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..
考虑到这一点,我们不应过快得出对深圳星源材质的结论。长期盈利能力比明年的利润更重要。在Simply Wall St上,我们有关于深圳星源材质的分析师预测范围,延伸至2026年,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Shenzhen Senior Technology Material (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.
值得注意的是,我们发现了深圳星源材质的4个警示迹象(其中一个可能很严重!),您需要考虑这些因素。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。