Shenzhen Fluence Technology PLC. (SZSE:300647) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 29% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 11% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Shenzhen Fluence Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Electronic industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 3.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
What Does Shenzhen Fluence Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shenzhen Fluence Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen Fluence Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Shenzhen Fluence Technology's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 25%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 12% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 29% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's curious that Shenzhen Fluence Technology's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What Does Shenzhen Fluence Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shenzhen Fluence Technology's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Shenzhen Fluence Technology's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Shenzhen Fluence Technology (2 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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