Zhejiang Extek Technology's (SZSE:301399) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings
Zhejiang Extek Technology's (SZSE:301399) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings
The subdued market reaction suggests that Zhejiang Extek Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301399) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.
市场反应温和表明浙江爱尔康科技股份有限公司(SZSE:301399)最近的收益没有包含任何意外。我们的分析表明,除了盈利数字不济,投资者还应意识到数字中存在其他潜在的弱点。
Examining Cashflow Against Zhejiang Extek Technology's Earnings
检查现金流与浙江爱尔康科技的收益
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
许多投资者没有听说过来自现金流的计提比率,但实际上它是衡量公司利润在给定期间内如何得到自由现金流(FCF)支持的有用指标。该计提比率从给定期间的FCF中减去利润,然后将结果除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。您可将来自现金流的计提比率视为“非FCF利润比率”。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
这意味着负的计提比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。虽然拥有正的计提比率毫无问题,表明某种程度的非现金利润,但高的计提比率则是一个坏信号,因为这表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,高的计提比率对近期利润总体上是一个坏兆头。
For the year to June 2024, Zhejiang Extek Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.36. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥66m despite its profit of CN¥89.4m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Zhejiang Extek Technology generated positive FCF of CN¥17m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.
截至2024年6月的一年,浙江爱尔康科技的应计比率为0.36。因此,我们知道其自由现金流明显低于其法定利润,这引发了有关该利润数字实际上有多少用处的疑问。在过去的十二个月中,尽管其盈利为8940万元人民币,但其实际上出现了负自由现金流,流出金额为6600万元人民币。值得注意的是,浙江爱尔康科技在一年前实际上产生了1700万元人民币的正自由现金流,所以至少他们以前曾经做到过。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Extek Technology.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击这里查看我们对浙江爱尔康科技资产负债表分析的链接。
Our Take On Zhejiang Extek Technology's Profit Performance
我们对浙江Extek Technology的利润表现持有观点
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Zhejiang Extek Technology didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Zhejiang Extek Technology's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Zhejiang Extek Technology, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Extek Technology (2 are a bit concerning!) and we strongly recommend you look at these bad boys before investing.
正如我们已经明确指出的那样,我们有点担心浙江Extek Technology没有用自由现金流支撑起去年的利润。因此,我们认为浙江Extek Technology的核心收益可能不是它的法定利润的好指标,并且可能给投资者留下过于积极的印象。不幸的是,其每股收益在过去的十二个月有所下降。本文的目标是评估我们能否依靠法定盈利来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多值得考虑的因素。如果您想深入了解浙江Extek Technology,您还需要了解它目前面临的风险。我们的分析显示浙江Extek Technology有3个警示信号(其中有2个有点令人担忧!),我们强烈建议您在投资前查看这些信息。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Zhejiang Extek Technology's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
今天我们重点关注了一个数据点,以更好地了解浙江Extek Technology的利润情况。但是还有很多其他方法可以评估一家公司。例如,许多人认为高股权回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而其他人则喜欢“跟随资金”,寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。尽管这可能需要您自己进行一些调查研究,但您可能会发现这个拥有高股权回报率的公司集合或者这个具有显著内部持股的股票清单对您有所帮助。
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