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Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:603275) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations

Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:603275) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations

上海中辰电子科技有限公司(SHSE:603275)的盈利前景可能依赖不稳定的基础
Simply Wall St ·  09/02 03:49

Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603275) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy uplift in the share price. We did some analysis and think that investors are missing some details hidden beneath the profit numbers.

上海中臣电子科技股份有限公司(SHSE:603275)刚刚公布了一些强劲的收益,市场对此做出了积极反应,股价出现了大幅提升。我们进行了一些分析,并认为投资者可能忽略了利润数字之下隐藏的一些细节。

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SHSE:603275 Earnings and Revenue History September 2nd 2024
SHSE:603275 收益和营业收入历史数据 2024年9月2日

A Closer Look At Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd's Earnings

对上海中臣电子科技股份有限公司的收益进行更详细的分析

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

很多投资者并不了解从现金流量表中计算的预付账款率,但它实际上是衡量公司利润由自由现金流(FCF)支撑情况的有用指标。简单地讲,这个比率将自由现金流(FCF)从净利润中减去,然后除以该期间公司的平均营运资产。这一比率告诉我们公司多少利润不由自由现金流支撑。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所建议的要多。这并不意味着我们应该担心正应计比率,但值得注意的是应计比率相当高的地方。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润降低或利润增长较少。

Over the twelve months to June 2024, Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.34. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥37m despite its profit of CN¥204.2m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd generated positive FCF of CN¥135m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2024年6月的十二个月中,上海中臣电子科技股份有限公司的应计比率为0.34。因此我们可以推断其自由现金流远远不足以覆盖其法定利润,这意味着在重视后者之前我们可能要三思。在过去的十二个月中,尽管它的利润为2,0420万元,但其实际上有负的自由现金流,流出了3700万元人民币。值得注意的是,上海中臣电子科技股份有限公司在一年前产生了1,3500万元人民币的正向自由现金流,所以至少他们过去做到了这一点。然而,并不仅仅是考虑这些。应计比率在一定程度上反映了非经常性项目对法定利润的影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd.

注意:我们始终建议投资者查看资产负债表的强弱。点击此处查看对上海中晨电子科技有限公司的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常规项目如何影响利润?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥18m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

考虑到应计比率,上海中晨电子科技有限公司过去12个月的利润被价值为1800万人民币的特殊项目提升,这并不奇怪。我们不能否认,更高的利润通常会让我们感到乐观,但我们更希望利润能够持续。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大特殊项目通常不会重复出现。毕竟,这就是会计术语的含义。如果上海中晨电子科技有限公司没有看到该贡献值重复出现,那么一切相等的情况下,我们预计它的利润在当前年度会下降。

Our Take On Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

对上海中晨电子科技有限公司的利润表现的我们观点

Summing up, Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you want to do dive deeper into Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example - Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

综上所述,上海中晨电子科技有限公司从特殊项目中获得了良好的利润提升,但未能将纸面利润与自由现金流相匹配。基于上述原因,我们认为,对上海中晨电子科技有限公司的法定利润进行肤浅的审视可能会使其看起来比实际情况更好。如果您想更深入地了解上海中晨电子科技有限公司,您还应该考虑它目前面临的风险。例如,上海中晨电子科技有限公司有1个我们认为您应该了解的警示标志。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

在本文中,我们看了许多可能损害利润数字实用性的因素,我们持谨慎态度。但还有很多其他方法可以了解一家公司的观点。一些人认为高净资产收益率是高质量企业的好迹象。因此,您可能希望查看这里提供的高净资产收益率公司的免费集合,或者这里持有高内部股权的股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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