Here's Why Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd (SHSE:601216) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd (SHSE:601216) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601216) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
大卫·伊本说得好,' 波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。' 因此,当您考虑任何股票的风险时,需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可以使公司陷入困境。我们可以看到内蒙古君正能源化工集团股份有限公司(SHSE:601216)在其业务中确实使用了债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否会使公司具有风险。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还贷款,则它存在于贷款人的掌握之中。在最坏的情况下,公司如果无法偿还债权人的债务,就会破产。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低价筹集新的股本资本,从而永久性地稀释股东的权益。当然,债务可能是企业中重要的工具,特别是对于资本重的企业而言。在我们检查债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平的组合。
What Is Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd's Debt?
内蒙古君正能源化工集团股份有限公司的债务是什么?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd had CN¥6.03b of debt, an increase on CN¥2.82b, over one year. However, it also had CN¥4.02b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥2.00b.
您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但它显示截至2024年6月,内蒙古君正能源化工集团有限公司有60.3亿人民币的债务,比一年增加了28.2亿人民币。然而,它也有40.2亿人民币的现金,因此其净债务为20亿人民币。
How Healthy Is Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?
内蒙古君正能源化工集团有限公司的资产负债表表现如何?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥9.88b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥5.31b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.02b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.87b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥9.29b.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,内蒙古君正能源化工集团有限公司在一年内有98.8亿元的短期债务和53.1亿元的长期债务。抵消这些债务的是40.2亿元的现金和18.7亿元的应收账款,其债务超过现金和(近期)应收账款的总和为92.9亿元。
This deficit isn't so bad because Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd is worth CN¥32.4b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
这个赤字并不严重,因为内蒙古君正能源化工集团有限公司的市值为324亿元,因此如果有需要,它可能可以筹集足够的资本来补充资产负债表。但是很明显,我们应该仔细检查它是否能够在不稀释股权的情况下管理债务。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
为了对公司的债务相对于其收益进行规模适应,我们计算其净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比及其税前收益(EBIT)与利息支出之比(利息保障倍数)。因此,我们既考虑到不包括折旧和摊销费用在内的收益,又包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务。
Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.48. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. On the other hand, Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd's EBIT dived 15%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
内蒙古君正能源化工集团有限公司的债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)比率仅为0.48。而且令人惊讶的是,尽管有净债务,它在过去十二个月收到的利息比要支付的利息还要多。因此可以说它能够像一位顶级铁板烧大厨处理烹饪一样处理债务。另一方面,过去一年,内蒙古君正能源化工集团有限公司的息税折旧摊销前利润(EBIT)下跌了15%。我们认为,如果这种表现经常重复,可能会给股票带来困难。毫无疑问,我们最能从资产负债表中了解债务状况。但是内蒙古君正能源化工集团有限公司的盈利将影响资产负债表在未来的情况。因此,如果你对其盈利情况感兴趣,不妨查看一下其长期盈利趋势图表。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 51% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
但是我们最后的考虑也很重要,因为一家公司不能用纸上利润来支付债务;它需要冰冷的现金。因此,逻辑步骤是看看这个EBIt的比例是否与实际的自由现金流相匹配。在过去三年中,内蒙古九祥能源化工集团有限公司产生了稳固的自由现金流,相当于其EBIt的51%,大致符合我们的预期。这个自由现金流使得该公司在适当时期能够偿还债务。
Our View
我们的观点
Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to grow its EBIT. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd you should know about.
内蒙古九九祥能源化工集团有限公司的利息支付倍数是这次分析中的一个真正的正面因素,以及它的净债务与EBITDA之比。相比之下,我们对其似乎难以增长其EBIt的情况感到担忧。当我们考虑到上述所有因素时,我们对内蒙古九祥能源化工集团有限公司的债务使用有些谨慎。虽然我们认识到债务可以提高股东权益回报,但我们建议股东密切关注其债务水平,以免增加。资产负债表显然是分析债务时的重点。然而,并不是所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。这些风险很难发现。每个公司都有它们,我们发现内蒙古九祥能源化工集团有限公司有1个警示信号,你应该知道。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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