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Zall Smart Commerce Group's (HKG:2098) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Spikes 18% This Past Week

Zall Smart Commerce Group's (HKG:2098) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Spikes 18% This Past Week

战略零售集团(HKG:2098)的盈利轨迹可能因股价上涨18%而转为正面。
Simply Wall St ·  09/03 01:35

It's nice to see the Zall Smart Commerce Group Ltd. (HKG:2098) share price up 18% in a week. But that can't change the reality that over the longer term (five years), the returns have been really quite dismal. The share price has failed to impress anyone , down a sizable 61% during that time. So we're not so sure if the recent bounce should be celebrated. Of course, this could be the start of a turnaround.

这周看到中信国际发展集团股价上涨18%,真是太好了。 但从长期来看(五年),回报率确实相当糟糕。 股价在这段时间内下跌了61%。 所以我们不确定最近的反弹是否值得庆祝。 当然,这可能是一个转机的开始。

While the last five years has been tough for Zall Smart Commerce Group shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

虽然以前五年对中信国际发展集团的股东来说是艰难时期,但过去一周已经显示出了希望之兆。 那么让我们看看长期的基本面是否是导致回报率下降的原因。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

虽然有效市场假说仍然被一些人教授,但被证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。检查市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是看一个公司的股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的交互作用。

Zall Smart Commerce Group became profitable within the last five years. Most would consider that to be a good thing, so it's counter-intuitive to see the share price declining. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

中信国际发展集团在过去五年内变得盈利。 大多数人会认为这是一件好事,因此看到股价下降就有些反直觉。 其他指标可能对我们了解其价值随时间变化有更好的把握。

Revenue is actually up 14% over the time period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

营业收入实际上在此期间增长了14%。对营收和收益的更详细检查可能或可能不会说明为什么股价停滞不前;这可能是一个机会。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收益和营收随时间变化的情况(如果你点击图像,可以看到更多细节):

big
SEHK:2098 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 2nd 2024
SEHK:2098 每股收益和营业收入增长2024年9月2日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

我们喜欢内部人士过去十二个月来一直在买入股票。尽管如此,大多数人认为每股收益和营业收入增长趋势更能指导业务。在买卖股票之前,我们始终建议对历史增长趋势进行仔细审查,可在此处查阅。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

We're pleased to report that Zall Smart Commerce Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 32% over one year. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 10% per year over five years. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Zall Smart Commerce Group (including 2 which are concerning) .

我们很高兴地报告,Zall Smart Commerce Group的股东在过去一年中获得了32%的总股东回报。毫无疑问,最近的回报远远好于过去五年每年10%的TSR亏损。长期的亏损使我们谨慎,但短期的TSR增益确实暗示着更光明的未来。虽然值得考虑市场条件对股价的不同影响,但还有更重要的因素。因此,您应该了解我们发现的 Zall Smart Commerce Group 的3个警告信号(包括其中2个令人担忧) 。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).

如果您喜欢与管理层共同购买股票,那么您可能会喜欢这个免费的公司列表(提示:大多数公司没有受到关注)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了当前在香港证券交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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