Former President Donald Trump is back in the lead against Democratic rival Kamala Harris on the popular cryptocurrency-based betting platform, Polymarket.
What happened: Bettors on the so-called world's largest prediction market foresee a 52% chance of Trump winning the November elections, against Harris' 47% as of this writing.
For much of last week, the betting odds of the two candidates were even. However, the situation tilted in favor of the Republican hopeful as September began.
Trump's odds hit an all-time high of 72% in mid-July. However, President Joe Biden's withdrawal from the race and Harris' elevation to the Democratic presidential ticket caused a dramatic shift in sentiment.
In fact, Harris edged out Trump in betting odds for the first time last month.
Polymarket, built atop Ethereum's (CRYPTO: ETH) Layer-2 chain, Polygon (CRYPTO: MATIC), has emerged as one of the world's top prediction markets for U.S. elections in the last few months.
As of this writing, more than $780 million in bets have been placed for the election outcome.
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Why It Matters: Trump's lead came amid his plans of making the U.S. the "crypto capital of the planet" and promotion of his family-backed cryptocurrency project, World Liberty Financial.
On the other hand, Harris hasn't talked about cryptocurrencies and digital assets in any of his public statements, though Democratic supporters have launched a "Crypto for Harris" campaign to counter Trump's outreach.
Price Action: As of this writing, Trump-themed PolitiFi token Maga was exchanging hands at $3.32, up 8.69% in the last 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap. Interestingly, Harris-themed cryptocurrency Kamala Horris was also up over 12%.
Image via Shutterstock
前总统唐纳德·特朗普在流行的基于加密货币的博彩平台Polymarket上重返民主党竞争对手卡马拉·哈里斯的领先地位。
发生了什么：所谓的全球最大预测市场的博彩玩家预计，特朗普赢得11月大选的可能性为52％，而截至撰写本文时，哈里斯的这一比例为47％。
在上周的大部分时间里，两位候选人的投注赔率是偶数。但是，随着9月的开始，情况向充满希望的共和党人倾斜。
特朗普的赔率在7月中旬创下了72％的历史新高。但是，乔·拜登总统退出竞选以及哈里斯升任民主党总统大选导致情绪急剧转变。
实际上，哈里斯上个月在投注赔率上首次击败特朗普。
Polymarket建立在以太坊（加密货币：ETH）的第二层链Polygon（加密货币：MATIC）之上，在过去的几个月中，它已成为世界上对美国大选的顶级预测市场之一。
截至撰写本文时，已经对选举结果下了超过7.8亿美元的赌注。
另见：萨尔瓦多总统纳伊布·布克勒说比特币的吸收并没有 “巨大成功” —— “我们从未强迫任何人采用它”
为何重要：特朗普之所以发挥领导作用，是因为他计划使美国成为 “地球上的加密之都”，并推广他的家族支持的加密货币项目世界自由金融。
另一方面，哈里斯在他的任何公开声明中都没有谈到加密货币和数字资产，尽管民主党的支持者发起了 “为哈里斯加密” 运动，以对抗特朗普的外联活动。
价格走势：根据CoinMarketCap的数据，截至撰写本文时，以特朗普为主题的PolitiFi代币Maga的交易价格为3.32美元，在过去24小时内上涨了8.69％。有趣的是，以哈里斯为主题的加密货币卡玛拉·霍里斯也上涨了12％以上。
