Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd's (SZSE:000692) Performance Raises Some Questions
Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd's (SZSE:000692) Performance Raises Some Questions
Despite posting strong earnings, Shenyang Huitian Thermal Power Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:000692) stock didn't move much over the last week. We looked deeper into the numbers and found that shareholders might be concerned with some underlying weaknesses.
尽管深圳惠天热电股份有限公司(SZSE:000692)的股票在上周没有太大波动,但盈利强劲。我们深入研究了数据,发现股东们可能对某些潜在的弱点感到担忧。
Examining Cashflow Against Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd's Earnings
对比惠天热电股份有限公司的现金流与收益
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
很多投资者并不了解从现金流量表中计算的预付账款率,但它实际上是衡量公司利润由自由现金流(FCF)支撑情况的有用指标。简单地讲,这个比率将自由现金流(FCF)从净利润中减去,然后除以该期间公司的平均营运资产。这一比率告诉我们公司多少利润不由自由现金流支撑。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,一家公司有负应计比率实际上是一件好事,但是如果它的应计比率为正,那是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,如果应计比率相当高,有一些学术证据表明,这是一个不利于近期利润的坏迹象。
Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.54 for the year to June 2024. Ergo, its free cash flow is significantly weaker than its profit. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥387m during the period, falling well short of its reported profit of CN¥1.10b. Notably, Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥387m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. One positive for Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.
截至2024年6月,深圳惠天热电股份有限公司的准现率为0.54。因此,其自由现金流比利润要弱得多,从统计上来看,这对未来的盈利是一个真正的负面影响。据统计,在这一时期,它的自由现金流为CN¥38700万,远远低于其报告的CN¥11亿的利润。值得注意的是,深圳惠天热电股份有限公司去年的自由现金流为负值,因此,今年产生的CN¥38700万是一个令人欣慰的改善。尽管如此,故事还未完全结束。我们可以看到,异常项目对其公告利润以及准现率产生了影响。对于深圳惠天热电股份有限公司的股东来说,一个积极的方面是去年它的准现率要好得多,这表明它可能在未来恢复更强大的现金转换能力。因此,某些股东可能正在寻求本年度更强大的现金转换能力。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击这里查看我们对沈阳惠天热电股份有限公司资产负债表的分析。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。
The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥1.8b, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to June 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
事实上,上年度该公司意外项使利润增加了18亿人民币,这可能在一定程度上解释了为什么它的应计比率如此低。虽然盈利增加总是好的,但来自意外项的大幅贡献有时会抑制我们的热情。当我们对成千上万家上市公司进行数据分析时,我们发现一年中意外项的提升通常不会在下一年重复出现。这是符合预期的,因为这些增益被描述为“意外”的。沈阳惠天热电有限公司在2024年6月以前的利润中,相对于其利润来说,意外项的贡献相当显著。其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会导致该公司的法定利润对基本盈利能力的指导不佳。
Our Take On Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd's Profit Performance
对沈阳惠天热电股份有限公司利润表现的我们的看法
Summing up, Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. On reflection, the above-mentioned factors give us the strong impression that Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd'sunderlying earnings power is not as good as it might seem, based on the statutory profit numbers. If you want to do dive deeper into Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd.
总结一下,沈阳惠天热电股份有限公司从意外项中获得了盈利的大幅提升,但无法将纸面利润与自由现金流相匹配。经过反思,以上因素给我们留下了强烈的印象:根据法定盈利数据,沈阳惠天热电股份有限公司的基本盈利能力似乎并不像看上去那样好。如果您想深入了解沈阳惠天热电股份有限公司,您还应该了解其目前面临的风险。为了帮助您,我们发现了3个警示信号(其中2个令我们不安!),在购买沈阳惠天热电股份有限公司的任何股票之前,您应该知道这些信号。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
在本文中,我们展示了影响利润数字的各种因素,并谨慎对待。但是,还有很多其他方法可以了解公司的情况。有些人认为高回报股本回报率是一家优质企业的好迹象。虽然可能需要您自己进行一些研究,但您可能会发现此免费收藏的公司以高股本回报率为荣,或此持有重要内部股份的股票清单可能会有所帮助。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。