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Is Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd (SHSE:600033) A Risky Investment?

Is Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd (SHSE:600033) A Risky Investment?

福建高速公路发展股份有限公司(SHSE:600033)是一项有风险的投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  09/04 03:54

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Fujian Expressway Development Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600033) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

有人说,波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。重要的是,福建高速公路开发有限公司, Ltd(上海证券交易所股票代码:600033)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd's Net Debt?

福建高速公路发展有限公司的净负债是多少?

As you can see below, Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd had CN¥1.02b of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥1.27b a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.60b in cash, so it actually has CN¥577.5m net cash.

如下所示,截至2024年6月,福建高速公路发展有限公司的债务为10.2元人民币,低于去年同期的12.7元人民币。但是,其资产负债表显示它持有16元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有57750万元人民币的净现金。

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SHSE:600033 Debt to Equity History September 4th 2024
SHSE: 600033 2024 年 9 月 4 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd's Balance Sheet?

福建高速公路开发有限公司的资产负债表有多强?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.80b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.47b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.60b and CN¥987.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥693.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,福建高速公路开发有限公司的负债为18元人民币,一年后到期的负债为14.7元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为16元人民币和价值98700万元人民币的应收账款。因此,它的负债总额为69390万元人民币,超过了现金和短期应收账款的总和。

Since publicly traded Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥9.17b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

由于上市的福建高速公路开发有限公司股票总价值为91.7元人民币,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。但是,有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东今后继续监督资产负债表。尽管负债可观,但福建高速公路发展有限公司拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

The good news is that Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd has increased its EBIT by 6.9% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

好消息是,福建高速公路发展有限公司在十二个月内将其息税前利润增长了6.9%,这应该可以缓解对债务偿还的任何担忧。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为福建高速公路开发有限公司需要收益来偿还债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。福建高速公路发展有限公司的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但仍然值得关注的是,该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去的三年中,福建高速公路发展有限公司产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。这种强劲的现金产生像穿着大黄蜂套装的小狗一样温暖着我们的心。

Summing Up

总结

We could understand if investors are concerned about Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥577.5m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥1.4b, being 101% of its EBIT. So is Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

我们可以理解投资者是否担心福建高速公路开发有限公司的负债,但我们可以放心,它的净现金为57750万元人民币。它以14元人民币的自由现金流给我们留下了深刻的印象,占其息税前利润的101%。那么福建高速公路发展有限公司的债务有风险吗?在我们看来,情况并非如此。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。请注意,福建高速公路发展有限公司在我们的投资分析中显示了1个警告信号,你应该知道...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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