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Market Bull Warns Of Up To 10% September Pullback, Urges Caution But Stresses Be Ready To 'Buy That Dip'

Market Bull Warns Of Up To 10% September Pullback, Urges Caution But Stresses Be Ready To 'Buy That Dip'

市场牛市警告9月将出现高达10%的回撤,敦促谨慎但强调准备好"买入回调"
Benzinga ·  09/04 03:30

Tom Lee, a prominent equity strategist, has shifted to a cautious stance, anticipating a 7%-10% market pullback in the coming weeks.

知名的股票策略师汤姆·李已经转为谨慎态度,预计未来几周市场会出现7%-10%的回调。

What Happened: Lee, co-founder and head of research at The Fundstrat who has been accurately bullish on the market, now foresees turbulence over the next eight weeks. He attributes this potential decline to historical trends, noting that September has historically been the weakest month for stocks.

发生了什么: Fundstrat 的联合创始人兼研究负责人李先生一直准确地对市场持看好态度,现在预期今后八周会出现动荡。他将这次潜在的下跌归因于历史趋势,指出九月通常是股票表现最疲弱的月份。

The Stock Trader's Almanac indicates the S&P 500 has averaged a 0.7% loss every September since 1950, reported CNBC.

《股票交易员年鉴》显示,自1950年以来,标准普尔500指数平均每年九月份都会下跌0.7%,CNBC报道。

"I think investors should be cautious for the next eight weeks," Lee said.

“我认为投资者在接下来的八周里应该谨慎,” 李先生说。

Lee advised investors to be cautious but ready to capitalize on potential buying opportunities. He cited several factors that could contribute to market volatility, including the upcoming August jobs report and the possibility of a hotter-than-expected data release, which could affect the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations.

李建议投资者保持谨慎,但要随时准备利用潜在的买入机会。他提到了几个可能导致市场波动的因素,包括即将发布的八月份就业报告以及可能会影响美联储降息预期的数据发布。“

"I think in the next eight weeks, people get a chance to buy. So, I think it's good to be cautious, but just ready to buy that dip," Lee said.

“我认为在接下来的八周内,人们会有机会买入。所以,我觉得谨慎是好的,但随时准备买入那个回调,” 李先生说。

Lee highlighted that the market has been strong, rising in seven of the past eight months, but warned that upcoming events like the September rate cuts and the election could induce nervousness among investors. He remains optimistic about buying opportunities during any pullback.

李指出市场一直表现强劲,在过去八个月中有七个月上涨,但警告称,即将到来的事件如九月份的降息和选举可能会引发投资者的紧张情绪。他仍然乐观地看待任何回调期间的买入机会。“

Why It Matters: September is historically a challenging month for the stock market. The month is notorious for disrupting market momentum and causing heightened volatility.

为何重要: 九月份历来是股市的具有挑战性的月份。这个月以干扰市场动能和导致高度波动而著称。

Recently, Adam Turnquist, chief technical strategist for LPL Financial, notes that "seasonal weakness in September could spoil the momentum" built earlier in the year.

最近,lpl financial首席技术策略师亚当·图恩奎斯特指出,"九月份的季节性疲软可能会破坏今年早些时候建立起来的势头。"

Adding to the complexity, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at potential rate cuts during his speech at Jackson Hole on Aug. 23, traders are anticipating these cuts, which could further influence market dynamics.

此外,联邦储备委员会主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在8月23日杰克逊霍尔演讲中暗示可能会降息,交易员们正在预期这些降息,这可能进一步影响市场动态。

However, a recent cautionary note from JPMorgan suggests that these anticipated rate cuts may not significantly boost the stock market. The Federal Reserve may start easing rates more reactively, which could impact investor sentiment.

然而,摩根大通最近发出的警告显示,这些预期的降息可能不会显著推动股票市场。联邦储备委员会可能会更具有反应性地开始降息,这可能影响投资者情绪。

Additionally, the performance of major stocks like Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) has been under scrutiny. Nvidia has seen a significant decline, losing the value of McDonald's, Disney, and Coinbase combined since its second-quarter earnings.

此外,英伟达公司(纳斯达克:NVDA)等主要股票的表现受到了关注。自其第二季度财报以来,英伟达已经出现了显著下滑,市值已经跌至麦当劳、迪士尼和Coinbase的总和。

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This story was generated using Benzinga Neuro and edited by Kaustubh Bagalkote

这个故事是使用Benzinga Neuro生成的,并由Kaustubh Bagalkote编辑

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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