Investors in Hormel Foods (NYSE:HRL) Have Unfortunately Lost 14% Over the Last Five Years
Investors in Hormel Foods (NYSE:HRL) Have Unfortunately Lost 14% Over the Last Five Years
Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. So we wouldn't blame long term Hormel Foods Corporation (NYSE:HRL) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 24% over a half decade.
理想情况下,您的整个投资组合应该超过市场平均水平。但即使是最好的股票选择者也只能在某些选择上获胜。因此,对于长期持有Hormel Foods Corporation (NYSE:HRL)股票的股东来说,股票在过去五年中下跌了24%,他们对自己的决定产生了怀疑。
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
鉴于此,值得看看该公司的基本面是否一直是长期业绩的驱动因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之处。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
虽然一些人仍然相信有效市场假说,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。一个不完美但简单的方法来考虑公司市场看法的变化是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化和股价的波动。
Looking back five years, both Hormel Foods' share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 5.6% per year. This change in EPS is remarkably close to the 5% average annual decrease in the share price. This suggests that market participants have not changed their view of the company all that much. Rather, the share price change has reflected changes in earnings per share.
回顾过去五年,Hormel Foods的股价和每股收益都有所下降;每股收益的下降速度为5.6%每年。这种每股收益的变化与股价的平均年降低率5%非常接近。这表明市场参与者对公司的观点并没有发生太大变化。相反,股价变动反映了每股收益的变化。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
该公司的每股收益(随时间的推移)如下图所示(单击可查看确切数字)。
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Hormel Foods' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
我们很高兴报告,该公司的CEO收入比大多数资本化类似的公司的CEO收入更为适度。了解CEO的薪酬情况固然重要,但更重要的问题是公司是否能够在未来几年实现盈利增长。通过查看Hormel Foods的盈利、营业收入和现金流的交互图,深入了解盈利情况。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Hormel Foods' TSR for the last 5 years was -14%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
考虑到股票总回报率以及股价回报率对于任何给定的股票来说都很重要。TSR包括任何分拆或折价融资的价值,以及根据股息再投资的股息,基于的假设。可以说,TSR给出了支付股息的股票更全面的画面。事实上,Hormel Foods在过去的5年中TSR为-14%,这超过了之前提到的股价回报。这主要是由于其股息支付造成的!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
Investors in Hormel Foods had a tough year, with a total loss of 8.9% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 23%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. If you would like to research Hormel Foods in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.
荷美尔食品公司的投资者在过去一年中损失了8.9%(包括股息),而市场上涨了约23%。即使是好的股票价格有时候也会下跌,但我们希望在对一家企业的基本指标有所改善之前,对它产生更大的兴趣。不幸的是,去年的表现可能表明存在未解决的挑战,因为它比过去半个世纪的年损失3%还要糟糕。我们知道,罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过投资者应该“在街上有血时买入”,但我们提醒投资者首先要确保他们正在购买的是一家高质量的企业。如果您想更详细地研究荷美尔食品公司,可以查看内部人是否一直在购买或出售该公司的股票。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您愿意查看另一家公司(具有潜在的更好财务状况),请不要错过这个免费的公司列表,证明它们可以增长收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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