Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic (SZSE:002048) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic (SZSE:002048) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002048) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
有人说,作为投资者,更好地考虑风险的方法是波动性,而不是债务,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性与风险远非同义词。”当我们考虑公司的风险程度时,我们总是喜欢看其使用债务的情况,因为债务过重会导致破产。就像许多其他公司一样,宁波华翔电子股份有限公司(SZSE:002048)也使用债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务创造了多大的风险?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有当公司无法轻易地通过筹集资金或使用自己的现金流来偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。如果情况变得非常糟糕,放贷人可以控制企业。虽然这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债的公司因为放贷人迫使他们以不利价格筹集资金而永久性地稀释股东。然而,通过替代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本投资高回报增长的公司的极好工具。在考虑一个公司的债务水平时,第一步是考虑它的现金和债务总额。
What Is Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic's Debt?
宁波华翔电子的债务是什么?
As you can see below, Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic had CN¥1.35b of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥1.41b a year prior. But it also has CN¥3.26b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.90b net cash.
如下所示,截至2024年6月,宁波华翔电子的债务为13.5亿人民币,低于前一年的14.1亿人民币。但它也有32.6亿人民币的现金来抵消,这意味着它有19亿人民币的净现金。
How Healthy Is Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic's Balance Sheet?
宁波华翔电子的资产负债表健康状况如何?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic had liabilities of CN¥10.4b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.93b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥3.26b as well as receivables valued at CN¥7.53b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.59b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
从最近的资产负债表上我们可以看到,宁波华翔电子的到期负债为104亿元人民币,超过一年的到期负债为19.3亿元人民币。抵消这些负债,它拥有32.6亿元人民币的现金以及价值75.3亿元人民币的应收账款,在12个月内到期。所以它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出15.9亿元人民币。
Given Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic has a market capitalization of CN¥9.82b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
鉴于宁波华翔电子的市值为98.2亿元人民币,很难相信这些负债会构成很大的威胁。但是我们认为有足够的负债,股东们应继续监控资产负债表的变化。尽管有值得注意的负债,宁波华翔电子拥有净现金,所以可以说它没有负债过重。
The good news is that Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic has increased its EBIT by 8.8% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
好消息是,宁波华翔电子在过去的12个月中,EBIT增长了8.8%,这应该能减轻对偿还债务的担忧。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是一个明显的起点。但是,决定宁波华翔电子能否保持健康的资产负债表的能力,更多取决于未来的收益。所以如果您想知道专业人士的看法,可以看看这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告,可能会有些趣味。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic recorded free cash flow of 41% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
但是我们的最后一个考虑因素也很重要,因为一家公司无法用纸上盈利来偿还债务,它需要冷硬现金。宁波华翔电子可能在资产负债表上有净现金,但仍有必要看一下其业务将利润、利息和税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,因为这将影响其管理债务的需求和能力。从最近的三年来看,宁波华翔电子的自由现金流占EBIT的比例为41%,比我们预期的要弱。在偿还债务方面并不理想。
Summing Up
总之
While Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥1.90b. And it also grew its EBIT by 8.8% over the last year. So we don't have any problem with Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic .
宁波华翔电子确实有比流动资产更多的负债,但同时也有19亿人民币的净现金。去年,净利润增长了8.8%。所以我们对宁波华翔电子的债务使用没有任何问题。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。为此,您应该注意到我们在宁波华翔电子中发现的一项警告信号。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
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