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Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd's (SZSE:301212) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Lackluster Earnings

Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd's (SZSE:301212) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Lackluster Earnings

浙江日薄化工股份有限公司(SZSE:301212)的股东们担心的不仅仅是低迷的收益
Simply Wall St ·  09/04 18:41

Zhejiang Realsun Chemical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:301212) recently posted soft earnings but shareholders didn't react strongly. Our analysis suggests that they may be missing some concerning details underlying the profit numbers.

浙江瑞盛化工有限公司, Ltd.(深圳证券交易所代码:301212)最近公布了疲软的收益,但股东们并未做出强烈反应。我们的分析表明,他们可能遗漏了一些构成利润数字的相关细节。

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SZSE:301212 Earnings and Revenue History September 4th 2024
SZSE: 301212 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 9 月 4 日

Zooming In On Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd's Earnings

放大浙江瑞盛化工有限公司的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

许多投资者还没有听说过现金流的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流超出了其利润所暗示的范围。尽管应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长放缓。

Over the twelve months to June 2024, Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.37. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥28.8m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥224m in the last year. We also note that Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥224m. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2024年6月的十二个月中,浙江瑞盛化工有限公司记录的应计比率为0.37。从统计学上讲,这对未来的收益来说确实是负面的。换句话说,该公司在那段时间内没有产生一点自由现金流。尽管该公司报告的利润为2880万元人民币,但看一下自由现金流就会发现,去年它实际上消耗了22400万加元人民币。我们还注意到,浙江瑞盛化工有限公司去年的自由现金流实际上也为负数,因此我们可以理解股东是否被其22400万元人民币的流出所困扰。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对浙江瑞盛化工有限公司的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥2.8m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

该公司去年有不寻常的项目将利润提高了280万元人民币,这一事实可能在某种程度上可以解释其应计比率为何如此疲软。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当不寻常的物品做出重大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎一些。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大不寻常的事项往往不会重演。考虑到这个名字,这并不奇怪。如果浙江瑞盛化学股份有限公司认为这一贡献不会重演,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计其本年度的利润将下降。

Our Take On Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd's Profit Performance

我们对浙江瑞盛化工有限公司盈利表现的看法

Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. Considering all this we'd argue Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you'd like to know more about Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

浙江瑞盛化工有限公司的应计比率较低,但其利润确实受到不寻常项目的提振。考虑到所有这些,我们认为浙江瑞盛化工有限公司的利润可能给人一种对其可持续盈利水平的过于宽松的印象。如果您想进一步了解浙江瑞盛化工有限公司的业务,请务必了解其面临的任何风险。每家公司都有风险,我们已经发现了浙江瑞盛化工有限公司的3个警告信号(其中1个不容忽视!)你应该知道。

Our examination of Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

我们对浙江瑞盛化工有限公司的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来好于实际的因素。而且,在此基础上,我们有些怀疑。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份拥有大量内幕持股的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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