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Shanghai Sunglow Packaging Technology Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603499) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Shanghai Sunglow Packaging Technology Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603499) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

上海翔港科技有限公司(SHSE:603499)的股票正在上涨,但财务状况看起来不确定:动能是否会持续?
Simply Wall St ·  09/05 06:33

Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd (SHSE:603499) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 14% over the last week. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's ROE in this article.

上海阳光包装技术有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:603499)在股市上表现良好,其股票上周大幅上涨了14%。但是,我们决定关注公司的基本面,这些基本面似乎并未给公司的财务状况提供明确的信号。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究上海阳光包装科技有限公司的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。简而言之,它衡量公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,上海阳光包装科技有限公司的投资回报率为:

3.8% = CN¥31m ÷ CN¥820m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

3.8% = 3100万元人民币 ÷ 82000万元人民币(基于截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.04 in profit.

“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。另一种看法是,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就能获得0.04元人民币的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's Earnings Growth And 3.8% ROE

上海阳光包装科技有限公司的收益增长和3.8%的投资回报率的并排比较

As you can see, Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's ROE looks pretty weak. Even when compared to the industry average of 5.4%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's five year net income decline of 9.0% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

如你所见,上海阳光包装科技有限公司的投资回报率看起来相当疲软。即使与行业平均水平的5.4%相比,投资回报率的数字也相当令人失望。出于这个原因,鉴于投资回报率较低,上海阳光包装科技有限公司五年净收入下降9.0%并不奇怪。我们认为,可能还有其他方面对公司的盈利前景产生负面影响。例如,该公司的派息率非常高,或者面临竞争压力。

That being said, we compared Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 1.3% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将上海阳光包装科技有限公司的业绩与行业进行了比较,当我们发现尽管该公司缩减了收益,但该行业在同期5年内以1.3%的速度增长了收益时,我们对此感到担忧。

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SHSE:603499 Past Earnings Growth September 4th 2024
SHSE: 603499 过去的收益增长 2024 年 9 月 4 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。无论情况如何,投资者都应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水,还是沼泽的水域在等着你。如果你想知道上海阳光包装科技有限公司的估值,可以看看这个衡量其与行业相比的市盈率指标。

Is Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

上海阳光包装科技有限公司是否有效地将利润再投资?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 43% (or a retention ratio of 57%) which is pretty normal, Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

从其三年中位数派息率43%(或57%的留存率)来看,这是很正常的,上海阳光包装科技有限公司的收益下降相当令人困惑,因为当一家公司保留很大一部分利润时,人们预计会看到相当大的增长。看来可能还有其他一些原因可以解释这方面的不足。例如,业务可能会下滑。

Additionally, Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd has paid dividends over a period of six years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

此外,上海阳光包装科技有限公司已在六年内派发了股息,这意味着无论收益如何萎缩,该公司的管理层都相当专注于维持股息支付。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 4 risks we have identified for Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总的来说,我们认为上海阳光包装科技有限公司表现出的表现可以有多种解释。尽管该公司的再投资率确实很高,但低投资回报率意味着所有这些再投资都没有给投资者带来任何好处,而且还对收益增长产生了负面影响。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。您可以在此处的平台上免费访问我们的风险仪表板,查看我们为上海阳光包装科技有限公司确定的4种风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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