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Jilin Province Xidian Pharmaceutical Sci-Tech DevelopmentLtd's (SZSE:301130) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

Jilin Province Xidian Pharmaceutical Sci-Tech DevelopmentLtd's (SZSE:301130) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

亚联发展吉林省西电药品科技发展有限公司(SZSE:301130)的问题不仅仅是利润下降。
Simply Wall St ·  09/04 18:36

A lackluster earnings announcement from Jilin Province Xidian Pharmaceutical Sci-Tech Development Co.,Ltd (SZSE:301130) last week didn't sink the stock price. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

上周,亚联发展(SZSE:301130)发布的业绩声明平平,并没有使股价下跌。然而,我们认为投资者应该注意一些潜在的因素可能会引起关注。

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SZSE:301130 Earnings and Revenue History September 4th 2024
SZSE:301130 2024年9月4日的盈利和营业收入历史

A Closer Look At Jilin Province Xidian Pharmaceutical Sci-Tech DevelopmentLtd's Earnings

对亚联发展股份有限公司的业绩进行更详细的审视

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

许多投资者并不了解从现金流量中计算的应计比率,但实际上它是一个衡量公司利润由自由现金流(FCF)在一定期间内支持的程度的有用指标。简单来说,这个比率将FCF从净利润中减去,然后将该数字除以公司在该期间内的平均经营资产。这个比率告诉我们公司的利润超过其FCF的多少。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,当一个公司的应计项目比率为负时,实际上是一件好事,但如果它的应计项目比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然应计项目比率超过零不太值得关注,但我们认为当一个公司的应计项目比率相对较高时值得注意。需要注意的是,一些学术证据表明,高应计项目比率通常是短期利润的一个不好的迹象。

Jilin Province Xidian Pharmaceutical Sci-Tech DevelopmentLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.33 for the year to June 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥95m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥44.6m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥95m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

亚联发展截至2024年6月的年度应计比率为0.33。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流明显低于其法定利润,这引发了对该利润数字真正有效性的质疑。过去一年,其实际自由现金流为CN¥9500万,与前述利润CN¥4460万形成对比。 鉴于去年负的自由现金流状况,我们可以想象一些股东可能会担心,今年的现金烧损为CN¥9500万,是否指示存在高风险。话虽如此,事情还有更多内情。我们可以看到非一般项目影响了其法定利润,因此影响了应计比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jilin Province Xidian Pharmaceutical Sci-Tech DevelopmentLtd.

注意:我们一直建议投资者检查资产表的实力。点击此处查看对亚联发展有限公司资产表的分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常规项目如何影响利润?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Jilin Province Xidian Pharmaceutical Sci-Tech DevelopmentLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥4.7m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Jilin Province Xidian Pharmaceutical Sci-Tech DevelopmentLtd doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

根据应计比率,亚联发展的利润在过去十二个月中因价值470万人民币的飞凡项目而受到提振。尽管利润增加总是件好事,但飞凡项目大幅贡献有时会减弱我们的热情。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,发现重大的飞凡项目往往不会重复出现。这一点并不令人意外,考虑到其名称。如果亚联发展未能再次实现这一贡献,其他条件相同,我们预计其利润在当前年度会下降。

Our Take On Jilin Province Xidian Pharmaceutical Sci-Tech DevelopmentLtd's Profit Performance

我们对亚联发展的利润表现的看法

Summing up, Jilin Province Xidian Pharmaceutical Sci-Tech DevelopmentLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Jilin Province Xidian Pharmaceutical Sci-Tech DevelopmentLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, Jilin Province Xidian Pharmaceutical Sci-Tech DevelopmentLtd has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.

总结一下,亚联发展从飞凡项目中获得了利润提升,但无法用自由现金流匹配其虚增利润。考虑到所有这些,我们认为亚联发展的利润可能过分夸大了其可持续盈利水平。有鉴于此,除非充分了解风险,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。例如,亚联发展有3个警示信号(其中2个令人担忧),我们认为您应该知道。

Our examination of Jilin Province Xidian Pharmaceutical Sci-Tech DevelopmentLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

我们对亚联发展的调查集中在某些因素上,这些因素使其盈利看起来比实际情况更好。基于这一点,我们还是有些怀疑。但还有很多其他方式可以了解一家公司。例如,许多人认为高净资产回报率是良好业务经济状况的指标,而其他人则喜欢“追踪资金”并寻找内部人员正在购买的股票。因此,您可能希望查看这个拥有高净资产回报率的公司收集,或者这个持有高内部所有权的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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