Why Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:001333) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
Why Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:001333) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
Following the release of a lackluster earnings report from Zhejiang Guanghua Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:001333) the stock price made a strong positive move. We did some analysis and found some positive factors that investors might be paying attention to rather than profit.
继浙江光华科技股份有限公司发布的收益报告乏善可陈之后, Ltd.(深圳证券交易所:001333)股价出现了强劲的积极走势。我们进行了一些分析,发现了一些积极因素,投资者可能会关注这些积极因素,而不是获利。
Zooming In On Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's Earnings
放大浙江光华科技有限公司的收益
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
用于衡量公司将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的效果的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时间内的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。
For the year to June 2024, Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.29. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥244m despite its profit of CN¥114.0m, mentioned above. We also note that Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥244m. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
截至2024年6月的一年中,浙江光华科技有限公司的应计比率为0.29。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远少于其法定利润,这使我们怀疑利润作为指导的效用。在过去的十二个月中,它的自由现金流实际上为负数,尽管如上所述,其利润为11400万元人民币,但流出量仍为24400万元人民币。我们还注意到,浙江光华科技有限公司去年的自由现金流实际上也为负数,因此我们可以理解股东是否被其24400万元人民币的流出所困扰。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对浙江光华科技股份有限公司的资产负债表分析
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
不寻常物品对利润的影响
Unfortunately (in the short term) Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth CN¥16m. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.
不幸的是(在短期内),浙江光华科技有限公司的利润因价值1600万元人民币的不寻常物品而减少。如果这是一笔非现金费用,则可以更轻松地实现高现金转换,因此令人惊讶的是,应计比率讲述了一个不同的故事。尽管由于不寻常项目而产生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一线希望。我们调查了数千家上市公司,发现不寻常的物品本质上往往是一次性的。鉴于这些单列项目被认为不寻常,这并不奇怪。如果浙江光华科技有限公司不看到这些不寻常的支出重演,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计其利润将在来年增加。
Our Take On Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance
我们对浙江光华科技有限公司盈利表现的看法
In conclusion, Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Having considered these factors, we don't think Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd you should be mindful of and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.
总之,浙江光华科技有限公司的应计比率表明,尽管不寻常的项目打压了利润,但其法定收益没有现金流支持。考虑到这些因素,我们认为浙江光华科技有限公司的法定利润对该业务的看法并不过于严厉。请记住,在分析股票时,值得注意所涉及的风险。一个很好的例子:我们已经发现了两个你应该注意的浙江光华科技有限公司的警告标志,其中一个让我们有点不舒服。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
在这篇文章中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,以此作为企业的指南。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这份拥有高股本回报率的公司的免费集合,或者这份内部所有权高的股票清单。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。