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Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's (SZSE:300915) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's (SZSE:300915) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

上海海融科技(SZSE:300915)的盈利稳定,但基本面不牢固。
Simply Wall St ·  09/04 19:05

Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300915) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

上海海融科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300915)的强劲盈利报告并未能推动其股票市场。我们的分析表明,这可能是因为股东注意到一些令人担忧的基本因素。

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SZSE:300915 Earnings and Revenue History September 4th 2024
SZSE:300915收益和营业收入历史数据为2024年9月4日

A Closer Look At Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's Earnings

对上海海融科技收益的详细观察

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融领域,用于衡量公司将其报告利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是从现金流量中计算的应计率。简单点来说,这个比率从净利润中减去自由现金流,然后将这个数字除以公司在那段时间内的平均营业资产。从现金流来看,你可以把它看作是“非FCF利润率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负的应计利润率对公司来说是积极的,而正的应计利润率则是负面的。虽然有正的应计利润率不是问题,表示某种程度的非现金利润,但高的应计利润率可能是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇论文:“具有更高应计利润的公司未来 tend to be less profitable。”

Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.47 for the year to June 2024. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥110.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥99m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥99m, this year, indicates high risk.

上海海融科技在2024年6月的一年中的应计比率为0.47。从统计学的角度来说,这对未来的盈利是一个真正的负面因素。事实上,在此期间,公司根本没有产生任何自由现金流。尽管它报告了人民币11030万的利润,但自由现金流数据显示,其在过去一年中实际上消耗了人民币9900万。在去年出现负自由现金流的背景下,猜想一些股东可能会想知道,今年9900万的现金烧损是否表示高风险。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表强度。点击此处,查看我们对上海海融科技资产负债表的分析。

Our Take On Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's Profit Performance

我们对上海海融科技的利润表现有所看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. The good news is that, its earnings per share increased by 23% in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

正如我们已经明确表示的那样,我们有点担心上海海融科技没有用自由现金流支持去年的利润。因此,我们认为上海海融科技的法定利润可能不是其潜在盈利能力的一个良好指标,并且可能给投资者过度正面的印象。好消息是,其每股收益在去年增加了23%。当然,在分析其收益方面,我们只是皮毛而已;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长、投资回报率等其他因素。如果您想更深入地了解上海海融科技,您还需要研究目前面临的风险。例如,上海海融科技有2个警告信号(其中有1个是显著的),我们认为您应该了解。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

今天,我们聚焦于一个数据点,以更好地了解上海海融科技利润的性质。但还有很多其他方法可以了解一个公司。一些人认为高股本回报率是一个优质业务的良好标志。因此,您可能希望查看此处的高股本回报率公司免费收藏,或者具有高内部持股的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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