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SFC Holdings' (SZSE:301558) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

SFC Holdings' (SZSE:301558) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

SFC控股(SZSE:301558)的股东不仅需要担心业绩低迷
Simply Wall St ·  09/04 19:03

The subdued market reaction suggests that SFC Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301558) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

市场反应平淡说明深圳证券交易所(股票代码:301558)近期的盈利没有出现任何意外。然而,我们认为投资者应该注意一些潜在因素可能引起关注。

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SZSE:301558 Earnings and Revenue History September 4th 2024
深圳证券交易所(股票代码:301558)盈利和营业收入历史数据2024年9月4日

Zooming In On SFC Holdings' Earnings

对深圳证券交易所(股票代码:301558)盈利的详细分析

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

许多投资者没有听说过从现金流计算的应计比率,但这实际上是一个衡量公司利润在特定期间内是否由自由现金流(FCF)支持的有用度量。简单地说,此比率从净利润中减去FCF,再将该数字除以公司在该期间内的平均营运资产。你可以把从现金流计算的应计比率看作是“非自由现金流利润比率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司比其利润所示带来了更多的自由现金流。虽然应计比率高于零不足为凭,但如果公司的应计比率相对较高,我们认为这值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,相对而言,高应计比率是短期利润的不利信号。

SFC Holdings has an accrual ratio of 0.27 for the year to June 2024. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥52m, which is significantly less than its profit of CN¥87.6m. SFC Holdings shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. One positive for SFC Holdings shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

2024年6月份,深圳证券交易所(股票代码:301558)的账面利润率为0.27。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远远低于所报告的利润。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,它报告的自由现金流仅为5200万人民币,远远低于其利润的8760万人民币。无疑,深圳证券交易所(股票代码:301558)的股东希望其自由现金流在明年反弹,因为过去的十二个月里自由现金流出现下降。然而,这并不是所有要考虑的因素。我们可以看到异常项目对其企业利润以及账面利润率产生了影响。对深圳证券交易所(股票代码:301558)的股东来说,一个积极的因素是其去年的账面利润率要好得多,这给人们理由相信它未来可能恢复到更强的现金转换。如果确实是这样,股东应该期待在今年改善现金流与利润的关系。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of SFC Holdings.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。点击此处查看SFC控股的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常规项目如何影响利润?

Unfortunately (in the short term) SFC Holdings saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth CN¥11m. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect SFC Holdings to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

很不幸(就目前而言),SFC控股的利润受到了价值1100万人民币的异常项目的冲击。如果这是一项非现金费用,那么会更容易在现金转换上获得更高的效果,所以准备率告诉了我们一个截然不同的故事。看到异常项目导致公司利润下降是不是很好,但好消息是,情况可能会变得比较快。我们研究了成千上万家上市公司,发现异常项目往往是一次性的。这并不令人吃惊,因为这些项目被认为是异常的。假设那些异常费用不再出现,其他条件不变,我们预计SFC控股明年的利润会更高。

Our Take On SFC Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对SFC控股的利润表现的见解

SFC Holdings saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that SFC Holdings' statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, we've found that SFC Holdings has 4 warning signs (3 make us uncomfortable!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

SFC控股的利润受到了异常项目的影响,这应该会使其更容易显示高的现金转换率,但根据其准备率,它并未这样做。根据这些因素,我们认为SFC控股的法定利润并不比实际情况更弱。请记住,在分析一只股票时,值得注意其中的风险。例如,我们发现SFC控股有4个警示信号(其中3个让我们感到不舒服!)在继续分析之前值得您关注。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

在这篇文章中,我们已经讨论了许多会影响企业利润数的因素,作为衡量企业指导方针的指导。但是,还有很多其他方法可以了解公司的情况。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是良好的商业经济的指标,而其他人则喜欢“跟随资金”,寻找内部人员正在购买的股票。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这个免费的高股本回报率收藏夹或这个具有重要内部股权的股票列表很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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