RongFa Nuclear Equipment's (SZSE:002366) Weak Earnings Might Be Worse Than They Appear
RongFa Nuclear Equipment's (SZSE:002366) Weak Earnings Might Be Worse Than They Appear
Shareholders didn't appear too concerned by RongFa Nuclear Equipment Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002366) weak earnings. We did some digging, and we believe that investors are missing some worrying factors underlying the profit figures.
股东们似乎对荣发核设备有限公司并不太担心。”s (SZSE: 002366) 收益疲软。我们进行了一些挖掘,我们认为投资者遗漏了构成利润数据的一些令人担忧的因素。
Zooming In On RongFa Nuclear Equipment's Earnings
放大荣发核设备的收益
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
许多投资者还没有听说过现金流的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,负的应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正的应计比率是负数。尽管应计比率为正(表明非现金利润达到一定水平)不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸质利润与现金流不匹配。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长放缓。
For the year to June 2024, RongFa Nuclear Equipment had an accrual ratio of 0.32. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥1.1b despite its profit of CN¥216.8m, mentioned above. We also note that RongFa Nuclear Equipment's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥1.1b. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
在截至2024年6月的一年中,荣发核设备的应计比率为0.32。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远少于其法定利润,这使我们怀疑利润作为指导的效用。在过去的十二个月中,它的自由现金流实际上为负数,尽管如上所述,其利润为21680万元人民币,但流出量仍为11元人民币。我们还注意到,荣发核设备去年的自由现金流实际上也是负的,因此我们可以理解股东是否被其11元人民币的流出所困扰。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of RongFa Nuclear Equipment.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对荣发核设备的资产负债表分析。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
不寻常物品对利润的影响
The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥169m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. RongFa Nuclear Equipment had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to June 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
该公司去年有不寻常的项目将利润提高了16900万元人民币,这一事实可能在某种程度上可以解释其应计比率为何如此疲软。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当不寻常的物品做出重大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎一些。我们统计了全球大多数上市公司的数字,不寻常的物品在自然界中很常见。考虑到这个名字,这并不奇怪。截至2024年6月,荣发核设备从不寻常的项目中获得了相当大的利润。在其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会使法定利润成为衡量潜在盈利能力的不良指导。
Our Take On RongFa Nuclear Equipment's Profit Performance
我们对荣发核设备盈利表现的看法
Summing up, RongFa Nuclear Equipment received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at RongFa Nuclear Equipment's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've found that RongFa Nuclear Equipment has 2 warning signs (1 is potentially serious!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.
总而言之,荣发核设备从不寻常的物品中获得了不错的利润提振,但其纸面利润无法与自由现金流相提并论。出于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼荣发核设备的法定利润可能会使其看起来比实际水平要好。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。例如,我们发现荣发核设备有 2 个警告信号(1 个可能很严重!)在进行进一步分析之前,这值得你注意。
Our examination of RongFa Nuclear Equipment has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
我们对荣发核设备的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来好于实际的因素。而且,在此基础上,我们有些怀疑。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份拥有大量内幕持股的股票清单很有用。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。