Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd's (SZSE:000529) Earnings Quality Is Low
Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd's (SZSE:000529) Earnings Quality Is Low
Shareholders didn't appear too concerned by Guangdong Guanghong Holdings Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:000529) weak earnings. Our analysis suggests that they may be missing some concerning details underlying the profit numbers.
股东们似乎对广东光宏控股有限公司并不太担心。, Ltd. 's(深圳证券交易所股票代码:000529)收益疲软。我们的分析表明,他们可能遗漏了一些构成利润数字的相关细节。
Zooming In On Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd's Earnings
放大广东光宏控股有限公司的收益
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
正如金融迷已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。虽然正应计比率表明非现金利润达到一定水平不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长减弱。
Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.20 for the year to June 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥354m despite its profit of CN¥156.2m, mentioned above. We also note that Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥354m. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
截至2024年6月的一年中,广东光宏控股有限公司的应计比率为0.20。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流大大低于其法定利润,这并不是一件好事。在过去的十二个月中,它的自由现金流实际上为负数,尽管如上所述,其利润为15620万元人民币,但流出量仍为35400万元人民币。我们还注意到,去年,广东光宏控股有限公司的自由现金流实际上也是负的,因此我们可以理解股东是否被其35400万元人民币的流出所困扰。话虽如此,故事还有更多。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对广东光宏控股有限公司的资产负债表分析
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
不寻常的物品如何影响利润?
Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥76m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to June 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
考虑到应计比率,在过去十二个月中,广东光宏控股有限公司的利润因价值7600万元人民币的不寻常项目而提振也就不足为奇了。我们不能否认更高的利润通常会让我们感到乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。我们统计了全球大多数上市公司的数字,不寻常的物品在自然界中很常见。考虑到这个名字,这并不奇怪。我们可以看到,截至2024年6月的一年中,广东光宏控股有限公司的正面不寻常项目与其利润相比相当可观。在其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会使法定利润成为衡量潜在盈利能力的不良指导。
Our Take On Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd's Profit Performance
我们对广东光宏控股有限公司盈利表现的看法
Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd (1 is significant!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
广东光宏控股有限公司的应计比率较低,但其利润确实受到不寻常项目的提振。出于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼广东光宏控股有限公司的法定利润可能会使其看起来比实际水平要好。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。当我们进行研究时,我们发现了广东光宏控股有限公司的3个警告信号(1个很重要!)我们认为值得你全神贯注。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
在这篇文章中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,我们采取了谨慎的态度。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这份拥有高股本回报率的公司的免费集合,或者这份内部所有权高的股票清单。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。