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Why China Railway Signal & Communication's (HKG:3969) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why China Railway Signal & Communication's (HKG:3969) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

为什么中国中铁信号通信(中国香港交易所代码:3969)的糟糕收益只是其问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  09/04 19:23

The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation Limited (HKG:3969) recently. Our analysis has found some reasons to be concerned, beyond the weak headline numbers.

市场对中国铁路信号通信股份有限公司(HKG:3969)最近的业绩不佳并不满意。我们的分析发现了一些令人担忧的原因,超越了疲软的头条数字。

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SEHK:3969 Earnings and Revenue History September 4th 2024
SEHK:3969 2024年9月4日盈利和营业收入历史数据

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常规项目如何影响利润?

Importantly, our data indicates that China Railway Signal & Communication's profit received a boost of CN¥291m in unusual items, over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

重要的是,我们的数据显示,中国铁路信号通信的利润在过去一年中由飞凡项目获得了2.91亿元的提振。虽然我们喜欢看到利润增长,但当飞凡项目对利润做出了重大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎。当我们对成千上万家上市公司的数据进行分析时,我们发现在某一年中由飞凡项目带来的提振往往不会在下一年重复出现。这也是可以预期的,因为这些提振被描述为“飞凡”。假设这些飞凡项目不会在今年再次出现,我们因此预计在下一年利润将会较弱(在没有业务增长的情况下)。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

Our Take On China Railway Signal & Communication's Profit Performance

我们对中国铁路信号通信的利润表现的看法

We'd posit that China Railway Signal & Communication's statutory earnings aren't a clean read on ongoing productivity, due to the large unusual item. Therefore, it seems possible to us that China Railway Signal & Communication's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for China Railway Signal & Communication and you'll want to know about it.

我们认为中国铁路信号与通信的法定盈利不是对持续生产力的准确评估,因为存在大量的非常项目。 因此,我们认为中国铁路信号与通信的真实基本盈利能力实际上低于其法定盈利。 更糟糕的消息是,其每股收益在过去一年内有所下降。 当然,对于分析其盈利能力,我们只是刚刚触及皮毛;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长、投资回报等其他因素。 因此,如果您想深入了解这支股票,重要的是要考虑到它面临的风险。 您会有兴趣知道,我们发现中国铁路信号与通信有1个警示信号,您会想了解其中的情况。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of China Railway Signal & Communication's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

今天我们将聚焦一个单一的数据点,以更好地了解中国铁路信号与通信的利润性质。 但如果您能够将注意力集中在细节上,还有更多可以发现的。 有些人认为高权益回报率是高质量企业的良好标志。 虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这个免费的公司收藏中拥有高权益回报率的公司,或者这个拥有重要内部控股的股票列表有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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