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Shareholders 45% Loss in Hefei Urban Construction Development (SZSE:002208) Partly Attributable to the Company's Decline in Earnings Over Past Three Years

Shareholders 45% Loss in Hefei Urban Construction Development (SZSE:002208) Partly Attributable to the Company's Decline in Earnings Over Past Three Years

合肥城建(SZSE:002208)股东的45%损失部分归因于公司过去三年收益的下降。
Simply Wall St ·  09/05 18:16

Hefei Urban Construction Development Co., Ltd (SZSE:002208) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 11% in the last week. But that doesn't help the fact that the three year return is less impressive. In fact, the share price is down 47% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.

合肥城建发展股份有限公司(SZSE:002208)的股东应该很高兴,因为上周股价上涨了11%。但这并不能掩盖一个事实,即过去三年的回报率并不那么理想。事实上,股价在过去三年下跌了47%,远远低于市场的回报率。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last three years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

尽管过去一周对股东来说更令人放心,但在过去的三年中,他们仍然处于亏损状态,因此让我们看看基本业务是否对下降负责。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

虽然市场是一个强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者情绪,不仅仅是基本业绩。一种有缺陷但合理的评估公司周围情绪如何变化的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

Hefei Urban Construction Development saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 62% per year, over the last three years. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 19% compound annual share price fall. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have previously priced some of the drop in. This positive sentiment is also reflected in the generous P/E ratio of 61.29.

在过去三年中,合肥城建发展的每股收益以年复合率下降了62%。每股收益的下降幅度比股价年复合下跌19%还要严重。因此,市场此刻可能并不太担心每股收益数据,或者之前市场可能已经有所预料到了这种下滑。这种积极的情绪也体现在高达61.29的市盈率中。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的每股收益(随时间的推移)如下图所示(单击可查看确切数字)。

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SZSE:002208 Earnings Per Share Growth September 5th 2024
SZSE:002208每股收益增长2024年9月5日

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在购买或出售股票之前,我们始终建议对历史增长趋势进行仔细研究,可以在这里找到相关信息。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Hefei Urban Construction Development's TSR for the last 3 years was -45%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

对于任何一只股票,考虑股东总回报率以及股价回报率都非常重要。股东总回报率(TSR)包括任何拆分或折价增发的价值,以及任何分红,基于分红再投资的假设。因此,对于那些支付丰厚股息的公司,股东总回报率往往要高于股价回报率。恰逢其会的是,合肥城建过去3年的TSR为-45%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。这主要是由于其分红所致!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

While the broader market lost about 19% in the twelve months, Hefei Urban Construction Development shareholders did even worse, losing 29% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 5% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Hefei Urban Construction Development better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Hefei Urban Construction Development (3 are a bit unpleasant) that you should be aware of.

尽管整个市场在过去12个月内下跌了约19%,合肥城建的股东们的亏损却更大,下跌了29%(包括分红在内)。话虽如此,不可避免地,在下跌的市场中会有一些股票被过度卖压。关键是要关注基本面的变化。遗憾的是,去年的业绩标志着一段糟糕的行情,股东们面临着每年5%的总损失。我们知道巴伦·罗斯柴尔德曾说过投资者应该“在街头看到血的时候买入”,但我们提醒投资者首先要确保他们正在购买一个高质量的企业。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有意思。但要更好地了解合肥城建,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们已经发现对合肥城建有4个警示信号(其中3个令人不快),您应该注意。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找获胜投资的人来说,最近有内部购买的低估公司免费列表可能是一个很好的选择。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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