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Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s (SHSE:601999) Earnings Are Built On Soft Foundations

Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s (SHSE:601999) Earnings Are Built On Soft Foundations

北方联合出版传媒集团(SHSE:601999)的收益建立在脆弱的基础之上
Simply Wall St ·  09/05 18:37

Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) Company Limited (SHSE:601999) posted some decent earnings, but shareholders didn't react strongly. Our analysis has found some concerning factors which weaken the profit's foundation.

北方联合出版传媒(集团)股份有限公司(SHSE:601999)发布了一些不错的收益,但股东们的反应并不强烈。我们的分析发现了一些令人担忧的因素,削弱了利润的基础。

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SHSE:601999 Earnings and Revenue History September 5th 2024
SHSE:601999盈利和营业收入历史 2024年9月5日

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。

Importantly, our data indicates that Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s profit received a boost of CN¥65m in unusual items, over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to June 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

重要的是,我们的数据显示,北方联合出版传媒(集团)在过去一年中非常规项目获得了6500万元人民币的增长。虽然我们喜欢看到利润增长,但当非常规项目做出巨大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎。当我们分析了成千上万家上市公司的数据后,发现一年中非常规项目的增长经常不会在下一年重复出现。这并不奇怪,名字就能说明问题。我们可以看到,与2024年6月相比,北方联合出版传媒(集团)的正常项目相对利润非常显著。其他一切相等的情况下,这很可能导致法定利润对基本盈利能力的指导不足。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Northern United Publishing & Media (Group).

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。点击此处查看我们对北方联合出版传媒(集团)的资产负债表分析。

An Unusual Tax Situation

一种不寻常的税务情况

Having already discussed the impact of the unusual items, we should also note that Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) received a tax benefit of CN¥10m. It's always a bit noteworthy when a company is paid by the tax man, rather than paying the tax man. We're sure the company was pleased with its tax benefit. However, our data indicates that tax benefits can temporarily boost statutory profit in the year it is booked, but subsequently profit may fall back. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth. So while we think it's great to receive a tax benefit, it does tend to imply an increased risk that the statutory profit overstates the sustainable earnings power of the business.

在已经讨论了非常规项目的影响后,我们还应该注意到北方联合出版传媒(集团)获得了1000万元人民币的税收收益。当一家公司得到税务部门的支付而不是向税务部门支付时,这总是有点值得注意的。我们相信公司对其税收收益感到满意。然而,我们的数据显示,税收收益可以在预订年度暂时增加法定利润,但随后利润可能会回落。如果税收收益不会重复,我们预计在缺乏强劲增长的情况下,法定利润水平会下降。因此,虽然我们认为获得税收收益是很好的,但这往往意味着企业的法定利润可能高估了可持续盈利能力的风险增加。

Our Take On Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s Profit Performance

我们对Northern United Publishing & Media(集团)的利润表现有了自己的看法

In its last report Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) received a tax benefit which might make its profit look better than it really is on a underlying level. Furthermore, it also benefitted from a positive unusual item, which boosted the profit result even higher. Considering all this we'd argue Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) you should be mindful of and 1 of these can't be ignored.

在其最新的报告中,Northern United Publishing & Media(集团)获得了一项税收优惠,这可能使其利润在基本水平上看起来比实际情况要好。此外,它还受益于一项积极的飞凡收入,这使利润结果更加显著提高。考虑到所有这些,我们认为Northern United Publishing & Media(集团)的利润可能给人对其可持续盈利水平过分慷慨的印象。因此,尽管盈利质量很重要,但同样重要的是要考虑当前时点上Northern United Publishing & Media(集团)面临的风险。例如:我们发现了3个对Northern United Publishing & Media(集团)构成警告的迹象,您应该予以注意,其中1个是不容忽视的。

Our examination of Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

我们对Northern United Publishing & Media(集团)的检查侧重于某些因素,这些因素可能使其盈利看起来比实际情况要好。基于此,我们持有一些怀疑态度。但还有很多其他方法来了解一家公司。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的良好迹象。因此,您可能希望查看这些具有高股本回报率的公司的免费收藏,或者拥有高内部所有权的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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