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Could The Market Be Wrong About Zhejiang Juhua Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600160) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

Could The Market Be Wrong About Zhejiang Juhua Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600160) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

鉴于其有吸引力的财务前景,市场是否对浙江巨化股份有误?
Simply Wall St ·  09/05 19:20

It is hard to get excited after looking at Zhejiang Juhua's (SHSE:600160) recent performance, when its stock has declined 37% over the past three months. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Specifically, we decided to study Zhejiang Juhua's ROE in this article.

在查看巨化股份(SHSE:600160)最近的表现后,很难感到兴奋,因为其股价在过去三个月下跌了37%。然而,更仔细地审视其健康的财务状况可能会让你重新考虑。鉴于基本面通常推动着长期市场结果,这家公司值得关注。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究巨化股份的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

roe或股东权益回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得回报的有用工具。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于其权益资本的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhejiang Juhua is:

因此,根据以上公式,巨化股份的roe为:

7.8% = CN¥1.4b ÷ CN¥18b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

7.8% = 1400000000人民币 ÷ 18000000000人民币(截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.08 in profit.

‘回报’是税后在过去的十二个月内赚取的金额。另一种思考方式是,对于每个CN¥1的股权,公司能够赚取CN¥0.08的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经学到 ROE(净资产收益率)可以衡量公司盈利的效率。具体取决于公司再投资或“保留”多少这些利润,以及其有效程度,我们便能够评估公司的盈利增长潜力。假设其他条件相同,ROE和利润保留率都较高的公司通常比不具备这些特征的公司增长率更高。

A Side By Side comparison of Zhejiang Juhua's Earnings Growth And 7.8% ROE

A Side By Side comparison of Zhejiang Juhua's Earnings Growth And 7.8% ROE

On the face of it, Zhejiang Juhua's ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 6.4%, is definitely interesting. This probably goes some way in explaining Zhejiang Juhua's moderate 19% growth over the past five years amongst other factors. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. For example, it is possible that the broader industry is going through a high growth phase, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

On the face of it, Zhejiang Juhua's ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 6.4%, is definitely interesting. This probably goes some way in explaining Zhejiang Juhua's moderate 19% growth over the past five years amongst other factors. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. For example, it is possible that the broader industry is going through a high growth phase, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Zhejiang Juhua's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 6.2% in the same period, which is great to see.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Zhejiang Juhua's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 6.2% in the same period, which is great to see.

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SHSE:600160 Past Earnings Growth September 5th 2024
SHSE:600160 Past Earnings Growth September 5th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Zhejiang Juhua is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

公司附加价值的基础,在很大程度上与其盈利增长相关。投资者应该设法确定预期的盈利增长或下降,无论哪种情况,是否已经定价。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是进入清澈的蓝色水域还是等待泥泞的水域。预期盈利增长的一个良好指标是市盈率,其确定市场愿意根据其盈利前景为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能希望检查巨化股份的市盈率是相对于其行业而言是高的还是低的。

Is Zhejiang Juhua Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

巨化股份是否有效利用留存收益?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 31% (implying that the company retains 69% of its profits), it seems that Zhejiang Juhua is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

具有三年中位数分红比率为31%(意味着公司留存其利润的69%),似乎巨化股份以一种有效的方式进行再投资,从而实现了盈利的相当数量增长,并支付了得到很好覆盖的股息。

Additionally, Zhejiang Juhua has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 26%. Still, forecasts suggest that Zhejiang Juhua's future ROE will rise to 16% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,巨化股份至少连续十年支付股息,这意味着公司非常重视与股东分享利润。根据最新的分析师预测,我们发现公司未来三年的红利支付比率预计将保持在26%的稳定水平。但是,预测表明,尽管公司的分红比率预计变化不大,巨化股份未来的roe将上升至16%。

Summary

总的来说,我们对伟明环保的表现非常满意。具体而言,我们喜欢公司以高回报率再投资了其利润的很大一部分。当然,这导致公司的收益大幅增长。但是,最新的行业分析师预测表明,该公司的收益预计将加速增长。

Overall, we are quite pleased with Zhejiang Juhua's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business at a moderate rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体而言,我们对巨化股份的表现感到非常满意。特别是,我们喜欢公司以适度的回报率大力再投资。毫不奇怪,这导致了令人印象深刻的盈利增长。鉴于此,最新的分析师预测显示公司将继续实现盈利扩张。这些分析师的预期是基于对整个行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?请点击此处查看我们针对该公司的分析师预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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