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Zhejiang HangKe Technology's (SHSE:688006) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Zhejiang HangKe Technology's (SHSE:688006) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

浙江航科科技(SHSE:688006)的股东不仅需要担心业绩不佳
Simply Wall St ·  09/05 19:27

A lackluster earnings announcement from Zhejiang HangKe Technology Incorporated Company (SHSE:688006) last week didn't sink the stock price. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

上周,浙江杭可科技股份有限公司(SHSE:688006)发布了一份平淡的收益公告,但股价并未下跌。我们认为投资者担心收益背后的一些弱点。

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SHSE:688006 Earnings and Revenue History September 5th 2024
SHSE:688006收益和营业收入历史记录于2024年9月5日

A Closer Look At Zhejiang HangKe Technology's Earnings

对浙江杭可科技收益的详细分析

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高金融领域,用来衡量一家公司如何将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的主要比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。应计比率从给定期间的自由现金流中减去利润,并将结果除以该公司在该期间内的平均营运资产。该比率显示了一家公司的利润超过其自由现金流的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,负的应计比率对公司是有利的,而正的应计比率则会产生负面影响。虽然正的应计比率不是问题,因为它表示某种程度的非现金利润,但高的应计比率可能是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高的应计比率往往会导致利润降低或利润增长较少。

Zhejiang HangKe Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.33 for the year to June 2024. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥10m despite its profit of CN¥602.7m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥10m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2024年6月,浙江杭可科技的应计比率为0.33。不幸的是,这意味着它的自由现金流远远少于它的法定利润,这让我们对利润作为指导性指标的效用产生怀疑。在过去的12个月中,尽管利润为CN¥60270万,但它实际上有负的自由现金流,流出了CN¥1000万。考虑到去年负的自由现金流,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑今年的CN¥1000万的现金烧损是否意味着高风险。话虽如此,还有更多的故事。应计比率至少在某种程度上反映了非常态项目对法定利润的影响。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常规项目如何影响利润?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥62m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

该公司在去年的异常项目推升利润6,200万人民币,可能可以解释为什么其应计率如此薄弱。虽然获得更高的利润总是好的,但大量来自异常项目的贡献有时会削弱我们的热情。当我们分析世界上的绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现显著的异常项目往往不会重复出现。而且,这正是会计术语所意味的。假设这些异常项目不会再次出现在当前年份,那么我们预计下一年的利润将会较弱(在没有业务增长的情况下)。

Our Take On Zhejiang HangKe Technology's Profit Performance

关于浙江杭可科技的利润表现我们的看法

Summing up, Zhejiang HangKe Technology received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Zhejiang HangKe Technology's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Zhejiang HangKe Technology (1 can't be ignored) you should be familiar with.

总结一下,浙江杭可科技从异常项目中获得了利润的良好增长,但无法通过自由现金流与其账面利润相匹配。基于上述原因,我们认为仅仅对浙江杭可科技的法定利润进行肤浅的审视可能会让其看起来比实际情况好的多。所以如果你想更深入地了解这只股票,必须考虑到它所面临的风险。例如,我们已经找到了浙江杭可科技的两个预警信号(一个不能忽视),你应该熟悉一下。

Our examination of Zhejiang HangKe Technology has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

我们对浙江杭可科技的审查主要关注那些可能使其收益看起来比实际情况好的因素。基于这一点,我们对其持持怀疑态度。但如果你能将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多的发现。有些人认为资产回报率高是一个优质企业的好迹象。虽然可能需要你做一些研究,但你可能会发现这个免费的高资产回报率公司收集,在这个拥有重要内部持股的股票清单上的公司对你有所帮助。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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