Earnings Release: Here's Why Analysts Cut Their C3.ai, Inc. (NYSE:AI) Price Target To US$25.40
Earnings Release: Here's Why Analysts Cut Their C3.ai, Inc. (NYSE:AI) Price Target To US$25.40
Last week, you might have seen that C3.ai, Inc. (NYSE:AI) released its first-quarter result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 9.5% to US$21.12 in the past week. It was a respectable set of results; while revenues of US$87m were in line with analyst predictions, statutory losses were 10% smaller than expected, with C3.ai losing US$0.50 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on C3.ai after the latest results.
上周,您可能已经看到C3.ai, Inc. (纽交所:AI)发布了其第一季度的业绩。初步反应不太积极,股价在过去的一周下跌9.5%至21.12美元。 这是一组体面的结果;尽管营业收入达到了8700万美元,与分析师的预测相符,但根据法定净亏损额,损失比预期小了10%,C3.ai每股亏损0.50美元。 盈利对投资者来说非常重要,因为他们可以追踪公司的表现,查看分析师对明年的预测,并了解市场对该公司的情绪是否发生变化。读者将很高兴得知,我们已经整合了最新的法定预测,以查看分析师在最新业绩公布后对C3.ai是否改变了看法。
![big](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240906/0-a926feb58311244439c3a0d2d599d785-0-4ee3b60a512b3f5030a7a962ad8a9122.png/big)
Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from C3.ai's 15 analysts is for revenues of US$382.8m in 2025. This reflects a notable 18% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Losses are expected to hold steady at around US$2.20. Before this earnings announcement, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$383.4m and losses of US$2.29 per share in 2025. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment in the recent updates, with the analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for losses per share, even though the revenue numbers were unchanged.
考虑到最新的结果,C3.ai的15位分析师共识预测2025年的营业收入为38280万美元。与过去12个月相比,这反映了18%的显著增长。 预计亏损将持平在约2.20美元左右。 在此次盈利公告之前,分析师们预测2025年的营业收入为38340万美元,每股亏损为2.29美元。 最近的更新似乎增加了一些情绪,分析师们在每股亏损的预测上变得更加乐观,尽管营业收入数字没有变化。
The consensus price target fell 12% to US$25.40despite the forecast for smaller losses next year. It looks like the ongoing lack of profitability is starting to weigh on valuations. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on C3.ai, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$40.00 and the most bearish at US$15.00 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
尽管明年的预测显示出更小的亏损,共识价格目标仍下跌了12%,至25.40美元。看起来,持续的盈利能力不足开始对估值产生影响。 此外,通过评估分析师的估计范围,我们也可以获得一些启示,以评估异常意见与平均值之间的差异有多大。关于C3.ai,存在一些差异意见,最看好的分析师将公司估值为40美元,而最看淡的分析师将其估值为15美元/股。这是估计范围相当广泛的一组数据,表明分析师们对该业务的可能结果估计存在着广泛的差异。
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's clear from the latest estimates that C3.ai's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 24% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 14% p.a. over the past three years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 12% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that C3.ai is expected to grow much faster than its industry.
要获取有关这些预测的更多背景信息,可以看看它们与过去业绩以及同行业其他公司表现的比较。从最新的预估数据来看,C3.ai的增长速度预计会显著加快,预计到2025年年化营业收入增长率将达到24%,明显快于过去三年的历史增长率为14%。将这与同行业其他公司相比较,它们预计每年营收增长12%。考虑到预期营收的加速增长,显然C3.ai预计会比同行业增长快得多。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。
The most obvious conclusion is that the analysts made no changes to their forecasts for a loss next year. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of C3.ai's future valuation.
最明显的结论是,分析师们对明年的亏损预测没有进行任何更改。幸运的是,他们还重申了营业收入数据,这表明它与预期保持一致。此外,我们的数据显示,营业收入预计增速将快于更广泛的行业。一致的价格目标显著下降,分析师似乎并不放心最新的结果,导致对C3.ai未来估值更低的估计。
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple C3.ai analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
记住这一点,我们仍然认为业务的长期轨迹对投资者来说更加重要。我们有来自多位C3.ai分析师的估算,延伸至2027年,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。
You still need to take note of risks, for example - C3.ai has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
您仍然需要注意风险,例如 - C3.ai存在2个警示信号,我们认为您应该注意。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。