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Is Ningbo Ocean Shipping (SHSE:601022) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Ningbo Ocean Shipping (SHSE:601022) Using Too Much Debt?

宁波海运(SHSE:601022)是否使用过多债务?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/09/06 18:01

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Ningbo Ocean Shipping Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601022) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。重要的是,宁波远洋运输有限公司(SHSE: 601022)确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面后果。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is Ningbo Ocean Shipping's Net Debt?

宁波远洋航运的净负债是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Ningbo Ocean Shipping had debt of CN¥857.0m, up from CN¥516.9m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.49b in cash, so it actually has CN¥633.1m net cash.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2024年6月,宁波远洋运输的债务为85700万元人民币,高于一年内的51690万元人民币。但是,其资产负债表显示它持有14.9元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有63310万元人民币的净现金。

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SHSE:601022 Debt to Equity History September 6th 2024
SHSE: 601022 2024 年 9 月 6 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Ningbo Ocean Shipping's Balance Sheet?

宁波海运的资产负债表有多强?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Ningbo Ocean Shipping had liabilities of CN¥1.89b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥621.2m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.49b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.08b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥56.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,宁波远洋运输的负债为18.9元人民币,此后到期的负债为62120万元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有14.9元人民币的现金以及价值10.8元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它可以拥有比总负债多出5650万元人民币的流动资产。

This state of affairs indicates that Ningbo Ocean Shipping's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥9.72b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Ningbo Ocean Shipping has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种状况表明,宁波远洋运输的资产负债表看起来相当稳健,因为其总负债几乎等于其流动资产。因此,尽管很难想象这家97.2元人民币的公司正在为现金而苦苦挣扎,但我们仍然认为值得监控其资产负债表。简而言之,宁波远洋航运的现金多于债务这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。

But the bad news is that Ningbo Ocean Shipping has seen its EBIT plunge 14% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Ningbo Ocean Shipping will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

但坏消息是,宁波远洋运输的息税前利润在过去十二个月中下降了14%。如果收益的下降速度持续下去,该公司可能会陷入困境。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为宁波远洋航运需要收益来偿还债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Ningbo Ocean Shipping has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Considering the last three years, Ningbo Ocean Shipping actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。尽管宁波远洋航运的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。考虑到过去三年,宁波远洋运输实际上总体上出现了现金流出。债务通常更昂贵,而且对于自由现金流为负的公司来说,风险几乎总是更大。股东们应该希望有所改善。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Ningbo Ocean Shipping has CN¥633.1m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we don't have any problem with Ningbo Ocean Shipping's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Ningbo Ocean Shipping that you should be aware of.

尽管调查公司的债务始终是明智之举,但在本案中,宁波远洋运输的净现金为63310万元人民币,资产负债表看起来不错。因此,我们对宁波远洋运输使用债务没有任何问题。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,我们已经确定了宁波远洋运输的1个警告标志,你应该注意这一点。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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