International Housewares Retail's (HKG:1373) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear
International Housewares Retail's (HKG:1373) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear
Shareholders appeared unconcerned with International Housewares Retail Company Limited's (HKG:1373) lackluster earnings report last week. We did some digging, and we believe the earnings are stronger than they seem.
股东们似乎对国际家居用品零售有限公司(HKG:1373)上周的业绩报告不太在意。我们进行了一些调查,我们相信业绩要比它们看起来的要强。
A Closer Look At International Housewares Retail's Earnings
对国际家居用品零售的盈利进行更详细的分析
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
许多投资者没有听说过现金流的权责发生制比率,但实际上它是一个衡量公司在一定时期内利润受自由现金流(FCF)支持程度的有用指标。该权责发生制比率将给定期间的自由现金流从利润中减去,并将结果除以公司在此期间的平均营运资产。该比率告诉我们公司利润中有多少是不受自由现金流支持的。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,负的应计负债比率对公司而言是正面的,正的应计负债比率则是负面的。这并不是要暗示我们应该担心正的应计负债比率,但值得注意的是应计负债比率相当高。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文:“应计负债较高的公司未来不太可能有高利润”。
Over the twelve months to April 2024, International Housewares Retail recorded an accrual ratio of -0.64. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of HK$402m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of HK$101.1m. International Housewares Retail's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons.
在截至2024年4月的十二个月内,国际家居用品零售的应计比率为-0.64。这意味着它现金转化能力很强,公司在过去一年的盈利实际上大大低估了其自由现金流。事实上,在该期间,公司的自由现金流为4.02亿港元,远远超过了其报告的1.011亿港元的利润。国际家居用品零售的自由现金流实际上在过去一年有所下降,这令人失望,就像那些不可生物降解的气球一样。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of International Housewares Retail.
注:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击这里查看我们对国际家居用品零售的资产负债表分析。
Our Take On International Housewares Retail's Profit Performance
对于国际家居用品零售的利润表现的我们观点
As we discussed above, International Housewares Retail's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think International Housewares Retail's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for International Housewares Retail you should be mindful of and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.
如我们上面所讨论的,国际家居用品零售的应计比率显示了利润向自由现金流的良好转化,这对公司来说非常积极。因此,我们认为国际家居用品零售的潜在盈利能力与法定利润一样好,甚至可能更好!然而,在过去十二个月中,它的每股收益实际上出现了萎缩。本文的目标是评估我们如何依赖法定盈利能力来反映公司的潜力,但有很多其他的因素需要考虑。基于这一点,如果您想对公司进行更多的分析,了解相关风险是至关重要的。因此我们发现了3个国际家居用品零售的警示信号,您需要注意其中1个信号可能让我们有点不舒服。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of International Housewares Retail's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
这篇笔记只是从一个角度分析了国际家居用品零售的利润性质。但是还有很多其他方式可以来评估一家公司。一些人认为股东权益回报率高是一个优质企业的良好迹象。虽然这可能需要您自己进行一些调研,但您可能会发现这个免费的高股东权益回报率公司收藏清单,或这个具有重要内部持股的股票列表非常有用。
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