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Why Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group's (SHSE:603882) Soft Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group's (SHSE:603882) Soft Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

为什么广州金域医学诊断集团(SHSE:603882)的软收益仅仅是问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  09/06 18:50

Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603882) recently posted soft earnings but shareholders didn't react strongly. We did some digging, and we believe that investors are missing some worrying factors underlying the profit figures.

金域医学(SHSE:603882)最近发布了不太理想的收益,但股东们并没有强烈反应。我们进行了一些调查,我们认为投资者忽视了利润数据背后的一些令人担忧的因素。

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SHSE:603882 Earnings and Revenue History September 6th 2024
SHSE:603882的收益和营业收入历史记录 2024年9月6日

Operating Revenue Or Not?

营业收入还是非营业收入?

Most companies divide classify their revenue as either 'operating revenue', which comes from normal operations, and other revenue, which could include government grants, for example. Where possible, we prefer rely on operating revenue to get a better understanding of how the business is functioning. Importantly, the non-operating revenue often comes without associated ongoing costs, so it can boost profit by letting it fall straight to the bottom line, making the operating business seem better than it really is. Notably, Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group had a significant increase in non-operating revenue over the last year. Indeed, its non-operating revenue rose from CN¥506.9m last year to CN¥813.4m this year. The high levels of non-operating revenue are problematic because if (and when) they do not repeat, then overall revenue (and profitability) of the firm will fall. In order to better understand a company's profit result, it can sometimes help to consider whether the result would be very different without a sudden increase in non-operating revenue.

大多数公司将其收益分为“营业收入”(来自正常运营)和其他收入(可能包括政府拨款)。在可能的情况下,我们更倾向于依赖营业收入来更好地了解业务的运营情况。值得注意的是,非营业收入通常不伴随持续性费用,因此可以通过让其直接转为净利润来提升利润,使营业业务看起来比实际情况更好。值得注意的是,金域医学在过去一年中的非营业收入大幅增加。事实上,其非营业收入从去年的50690万人民币增加到了今年的81340万人民币。过高的非营业收入水平是有问题的,因为如果(并且当)它们不再出现,公司的总收入(和盈利能力)将会下降。为了更好地了解公司的利润结果,有时可以考虑一下,在非营业收入突增的情况下,结果是否会有很大不同。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。

Alongside that spike in non-operating revenue, it's also important to note that Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group'sprofit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥86m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to June 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

除了非营业收入的激增外,值得注意的是,金域医学在过去十二个月中的利润还受到了价值8600万人民币的飞凡物品的推动。我们不能否认,较高的利润通常让我们感到乐观,但我们更希望利润能够持续增长。当我们分析了全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重要的非凡物品通常不会重复出现。这也是可以预料的,因为这些提升被描述为“非凡”。我们可以看到,相对于2024年6月份的利润来说,金域医学的正面非凡物品相当显著。因此,我们可以推断出非凡物品使其法定利润比本来会更加强大。

Our Take On Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group's Profit Performance

我们对金域医学的盈利表现的看法

In its last report Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group benefitted from a spike in non-operating revenue which may have boosted its profit in a way that may be no more sustainable than low quality coal mining. And on top of that, it also saw an unusual item boost its profit, suggesting that next year might see a lower profit number, if these events are not repeated and everything else is equal. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group (1 is a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.

在最近的报告中,金域医学受益于非经营性收入的激增,这可能提升了其盈利,但这种盈利的可持续性可能不比低质量的煤炭开采更可靠。此外,金域医学还获得了一个非同寻常的项目,提升了其盈利,这表明如果这些事件不再重复,并且其他一切保持不变的话,明年的盈利可能会较低。鉴于上述原因,我们认为仅凭一瞥金域医学的法定利润可能会使其在潜在水平上看起来比实际情况要好。请记住,在分析一支股票时,了解其中涉及的风险是值得注意的。例如,我们已经确定了金域医学的4个警示信号(其中1个稍微令人担忧),希望您对此有所了解。

Our examination of Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

我们对金域医学的研究重点放在一些因素上,这些因素可能使其盈利看起来比实际情况更好。基于这个基础,我们对此持怀疑态度。但是还有很多其他方法可以了解一家公司。有些人认为股东权益回报率较高是公司质量良好的一个征兆。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现具有高股东权益回报率的公司的免费收藏或具有重要内部控股的股票清单对您有所帮助。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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