Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials' (SHSE:603578) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think
Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials' (SHSE:603578) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think
Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603578) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.
浙江三星新材料有限公司(SHSE:603578)最近发布的季度业绩报告并没有引起股票大幅波动。然而,我们认为投资者应该关注一些潜在因素,这可能是令人担忧的。
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A Closer Look At Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials' Earnings
关注浙江三星新材料的收益状况
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
衡量公司将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的一个重要财务比率是应计比率。 应计比率将FCF从给定时期的利润中减去,并将结果除以公司在该期间的平均运营资产。 您可以将非自由现金流获利比率视为从现金流中提取的应计比率。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,一家公司有负应计比率实际上是一件好事,但是如果它的应计比率为正,那是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,如果应计比率相当高,有一些学术证据表明,这是一个不利于近期利润的坏迹象。
For the year to June 2024, Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials had an accrual ratio of 1.19. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥1.2b despite its profit of CN¥65.5m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials generated positive FCF of CN¥29m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.
截止到2024年6月,浙江三星新材料的应计支出比例为1.19。一般来说,这对未来的盈利能力不利。事实上,在该期间,公司根本没有产生任何自由现金流。尽管其盈利为6550万元人民币,但过去十二个月中,其自由现金流却为负值,流出了12亿元人民币。值得注意的是,浙江三星新材料在一年前产生了正的自由现金流2900万元人民币,至少他们曾经做到过。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处进入我们对浙江三星新材料的资产负债表分析。
Our Take On Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials' Profit Performance
我们对浙江三星新材的盈利表现进行了评估
As we discussed above, we think Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials' earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials' statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials (1 is significant!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
正如我们上面所讨论的,我们认为浙江三星新材的利润没有得到自由现金流的支持,这可能会引起一些投资者的担忧。出于这个原因,我们认为浙江三星新材的法定利润可能不是其潜在盈利能力的一个好的指南,并可能给投资者留下过于积极的印象。在进一步的坏消息中,它的每股收益在过去一年中有所下降。当然,我们在分析其盈利方面只是触摸了冰山一角;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。如果你想深入了解浙江三星新材,你还可以了解它目前面临的风险。在我们进行研究时,我们发现了四个警示信号,浙江三星新材(其中一个是重大的!)这些我们认为值得你充分关注。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
这个笔记只讨论了一个能揭示浙江三星新材利润性质的因素。但是,如果你能够专注于细枝末节,就会发现更多的东西。一些人认为高回报率是一个优质企业的好迹象。虽然这可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这个免费的高回报率公司收藏或这个具有重要内幕持股的股票列表有用。
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