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We Think Hunan Aerospace Huanyu Communication TechnologyLTD (SHSE:688523) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think Hunan Aerospace Huanyu Communication TechnologyLTD (SHSE:688523) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我们认为湖南航天华宇通信技术有限公司(上海证券交易所:688523)在其债务方面存在一定风险。
Simply Wall St ·  09/06 19:08

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Hunan Aerospace Huanyu Communication Technology Co.,LTD. (SHSE:688523) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。重要的是,湖南航天环宇通信技术有限公司, LTD.(SHSE: 688523)确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或利用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的重要部分是 “创造性破坏” 的过程,在这个过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的一个非常好的工具。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

How Much Debt Does Hunan Aerospace Huanyu Communication TechnologyLTD Carry?

湖南航天环宇通信科技有限公司背负了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Hunan Aerospace Huanyu Communication TechnologyLTD had CN¥270.5m of debt, an increase on CN¥254.6m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥571.7m in cash, leading to a CN¥301.2m net cash position.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2024年6月,湖南航天环宇通信技术有限公司在一年内有27050万元人民币的债务,比25460万加元人民币的债务有所增加。但另一方面,它也有57170万元人民币的现金,净现金状况为30120万元人民币。

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SHSE:688523 Debt to Equity History September 6th 2024
SHSE: 688523 2024 年 9 月 6 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Hunan Aerospace Huanyu Communication TechnologyLTD's Balance Sheet?

湖南航天环宇通信科技有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hunan Aerospace Huanyu Communication TechnologyLTD had liabilities of CN¥294.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥279.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥571.7m and CN¥449.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥446.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,湖南航天环宇通信技术有限公司在12个月内到期的负债为29480万元人民币,在此之后到期的负债为27950万加元。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为57170万元人民币,还有价值44950万元人民币的应收账款。因此,它可以拥有比总负债多出44690万元人民币的流动资产。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Hunan Aerospace Huanyu Communication TechnologyLTD could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Hunan Aerospace Huanyu Communication TechnologyLTD has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种短期流动性表明,湖南航天环宇通信技术有限公司可能会轻松偿还债务,因为其资产负债表远未捉襟见肘。简而言之,湖南航天环宇通信技术有限公司的现金多于债务,这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。

It is just as well that Hunan Aerospace Huanyu Communication TechnologyLTD's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 25% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hunan Aerospace Huanyu Communication TechnologyLTD's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

湖南航天环宇通信科技有限公司的负荷也不是太重,因为其息税前利润比去年下降了25%。当一家公司看到盈利下降时,它有时会发现与贷款机构的关系恶化。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收益将决定湖南航天环宇通信技术有限公司未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Hunan Aerospace Huanyu Communication TechnologyLTD may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Hunan Aerospace Huanyu Communication TechnologyLTD burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。湖南航天环宇通信技术有限公司的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去的三年中,湖南航天环宇通信技术有限公司烧掉了大量现金。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Hunan Aerospace Huanyu Communication TechnologyLTD has net cash of CN¥301.2m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Hunan Aerospace Huanyu Communication TechnologyLTD's balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Hunan Aerospace Huanyu Communication TechnologyLTD (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

虽然我们同情那些认为债务担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,湖南航天环宇通信科技有限公司的净现金为30120万元人民币,流动资产也多于负债。因此,尽管我们看到了一些需要改进的地方,但我们并不太担心湖南航天环宇通信科技有限公司的资产负债表。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们已经确定了湖南航天环宇通信技术有限公司的3个警告标志(其中1个不容忽视),你应该注意。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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