There wouldn't be many who think Hunan Gold Corporation Limited's (SZSE:002155) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27.9x is worth a mention when the median P/E in China is similar at about 27x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Hunan Gold certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/E from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
SZSE:002155 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 7th 2024 Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hunan Gold will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Does Growth Match The P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hunan Gold would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 43%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 108% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 30% per annum during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 20% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Hunan Gold is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Hunan Gold currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Hunan Gold that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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