In 2020 Elon Musk Predicted That 100% Cars Produced By 2040 Will Be Electric And Fully Autonomous. Now He Says '99% Is Probably Right'
In 2020 Elon Musk Predicted That 100% Cars Produced By 2040 Will Be Electric And Fully Autonomous. Now He Says '99% Is Probably Right'
"As it is right now only a couple of percent of new car production is electric and at least right now no new car production is fully autonomous. But 20 years from now, probably essentially 100% electric, 100% fully autonomous," he said back then.$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk updated his 2020 forecast regarding the future of electric and fully autonomous vehicles.
$特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$ 以及spacex(临时代码) CEO埃隆·马斯克更新了他对电动和完全自动驾驶汽车未来的2020年预测。
What Happened: On Friday, Musk responded to a video about his 2020 prediction on the future of electric and fully autonomous cars.
发生了什么：在周五，马斯克对一段关于他对未来电动和完全自动驾驶汽车的2020年预测的视频作出了回应。
In the video, Musk can be seen predicting that by 2040, all cars produced will be electric and fully autonomous.
在视频中，马斯克预测到到2040年，所有生产的汽车都将是电动和完全自动驾驶的。
"As it is right now only a couple of percent of new car production is electric and at least right now no new car production is fully autonomous. But 20 years from now, probably essentially 100% electric, 100% fully autonomous," he said back then.
他当时说：“就目前而言，新车生产中只有几个百分点是电动的，而且目前没有新车生产是完全自动驾驶的。但从现在起20年后，可能是100%的电动汽车，100%的完全自动驾驶。”
Responding to the video, Musk revised his prediction, suggesting that around 99% of cars produced by 2040 will be electric and fully autonomous, rather than 100% as he had previously stated.
对该视频的回应中，马斯克修正了他的预测，他认为到2040年，生产的汽车中大约有99%将是电动和完全自动驾驶的，而不是之前他所说的100%。
He said, "Easy prediction. All is a strong word, but ~99% is probably right."
他说：“容易预测。‘所有’是一个强有力的词，但大约99%可能是正确的。”
Easy prediction.
All is a strong word, but ~99% is probably right.— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) September 6, 2024
容易预测。
‘所有’是一个强有力的词，但大约99%可能是正确的。— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) 2024年9月6日
Why It Matters: Earlier this year in March, Musk estimated that it will take at least a decade before most cars on the road are self-driving.
为什么重要：今年三月，马斯克预计，要等到至少十年后，大多数道路上的汽车才能实现自动驾驶。
He acknowledged that concerns about self-driving technology are valid but suggested that these issues can be addressed over the next ten years.
他承认对自动驾驶技术的担忧是合理的，但并且认为这些问题可以在未来十年内解决。
The following month, he reiterated that Tesla would be "happy" to license its full self-driving (FSD) technology to other car companies, but no automaker seemed interested at the time.
第二个月，他重申特斯拉“乐意”授权其完整的全自动驾驶（FSD）技术给其他汽车公司，但当时没有任何汽车制造商表现出兴趣。
Later in April, Musk hinted that Florida could be the first U.S. state where Tesla introduces driverless FSD, citing the state's relatively easier laws regulating autonomous vehicles.
四月晚些时候，马斯克暗示佛罗里达州可能会成为特斯拉首个引入无人驾驶FSD的美国州，称该州对自动驾驶汽车的监管法律相对较轻松。
Meanwhile, industry experts have highlighted infrastructure as a significant hurdle to wider EV adoption.
与此同时，行业专家强调基础设施是更广泛采用电动汽车的重要障碍。
Erin Keating, executive analyst at Cox Automotive, noted that EV sales are surpassing traditional vehicle sales, with a 7% increase in July and an 11.3% year-over-year rise.
Cox Automotive的执行分析师Erin Keating指出，电动汽车销量超过传统汽车销量，7月份增长了7％，同比增长了11.3％。
Despite this growth, Keating highlighted the ongoing issue of inadequate charging infrastructure. Many potential EV buyers, especially those in apartments or without home garages, struggle with limited access to charging stations.
尽管有所增长，但Keating强调了充电基础设施不足的持续问题。许多潜在的电动汽车购买者，特别是那些住在公寓或没有家庭车库的人，面临充电站资源有限的困境。
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
免责声明：本内容部分使用人工智能工具生成，并经Benzinga编辑审核发布。
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock
图片来源：shutterstock
