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We Think Array Technologies (NASDAQ:ARRY) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think Array Technologies (NASDAQ:ARRY) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我们认为Array Technologies (纳斯达克:ARRAY) 在其债务方面存在一些风险。
Simply Wall St ·  09/07 09:24

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Array Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARRY) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

David Iben说得非常好,'波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免永久性的资本损失。' 当我们考虑一个公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过载可能导致灭亡。重要的是,Array Technologies, Inc.(NASDAQ:ARRY)确实存在债务。但股东们应该担心它的债务使用吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务在企业遇到支付困难时提供帮助,无论是通过新资本还是自由现金流。资本主义的一部分是‘创造性摧毁’的过程,失败的企业会被它们的银行家无情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一个公司必须以低价格稀释股东权益来控制债务。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表了廉价的资本,尤其是当它取代稀释一个公司具有高回报率的再投资能力时。在考虑一个企业使用多少债务时,首先要看它的现金和债务情况。

What Is Array Technologies's Debt?

Array Technologies的债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Array Technologies had debt of US$680.7m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from US$739.9m over a year. On the flip side, it has US$282.3m in cash leading to net debt of about US$398.4m.

下图(点击可放大)显示,截至2024年6月底,Array Technologies的债务为680.7百万美元,较一年前的739.9百万美元有所减少。另一方面,它有282.3百万美元的现金,净债务约为398.4百万美元。

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NasdaqGM:ARRY Debt to Equity History September 7th 2024
NasdaqGM:ARRY的资产负债历史记录(2024年9月7日)

A Look At Array Technologies' Liabilities

看看Array Technologies的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Array Technologies had liabilities of US$337.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$735.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$282.3m in cash and US$309.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$481.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

从最近的资产负债表可以看出,Array Technologies有US $ 3,3760,000的短期债务到期,并有US $ 7,3550,000的长期债务。 与此相抵,它有US $ 2,8230,000的现金和US $ 3,0970,000的应收账款,这些应收账款在12个月内到期。 因此,其债务总额比现金和短期应收账款的组合多出US $ 4,8100,000。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Array Technologies has a market capitalization of US$969.3m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

虽然这听起来很多,但事实并不糟糕,因为Array Technologies的市值为US $ 9,6930,000,所以如果需要可以通过融资来增强其资产负债表。 但我们确实要密切关注其债务带来的风险是否过大。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

通过查看公司的净债务与利息、税、折旧、摊销前利润(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息费用(利息覆盖率)可以衡量一个公司的债务负担与收益能力。因此,我们考虑将债务与有无计算折旧和摊销费用的收益相对比。

Array Technologies has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.5 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.7 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Shareholders should be aware that Array Technologies's EBIT was down 36% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Array Technologies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Array Technologies的债务/息税前利润比为2.5,其息税前利润覆盖了4.7倍的利息支出。 这表明尽管债务水平相当可观,但我们不敢说它们是有问题的。 股东应该知道,Array Technologies去年的息税前利润下降了36%。 如果这种盈利趋势持续下去,那么偿还债务将就像把猫集中在过山车上一样困难。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。 但是未来的盈利,比任何其他因素,都将决定Array Technologies保持健康资产负债表的能力。 因此,如果您想知道专业人员的想法,您可能会发现分析师利润预测报告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last two years, Array Technologies actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

最后,企业需要有自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润是不够的。 因此,值得检查EBIt有多少由自由现金流支持。 在过去的两年中,Array Technologies实际上产生的自由现金流比EBIt还要多。 这种强劲的现金流生成方式让我们们如同看到穿着蜜蜂装的小狗一样心生暖意。

Our View

我们的观点

Neither Array Technologies's ability to grow its EBIT nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Array Technologies is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Array Technologies you should be aware of.

既不是Array Technologies的EBIt增长能力,也不是其总负债水平让我们对其承担更多债务持有信心。但是其将EBIt转化为自由现金流的能力却讲述了一个截然不同的故事,并表明了一些韧性。综合考虑上述所有角度,我们认为Array Technologies作为一项投资是相当有风险的,因为其负债。并非所有的风险都是坏的,如果成功了,它可以提高股价回报,但这种债务风险值得记在心里。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到了关于债务的大多数信息。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,甚至远非如此。举个例子:我们已经发现了Array Technologies的3个预警信号,你应该注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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