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Has Amdocs Limited's (NASDAQ:DOX) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

Has Amdocs Limited's (NASDAQ:DOX) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

Amdocs有限公司(纳斯达克:DOX)的出色股票表现是否与其基本面有关?
Simply Wall St ·  09/07 09:33

Most readers would already be aware that Amdocs' (NASDAQ:DOX) stock increased significantly by 11% over the past three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Amdocs' ROE today.

大多数读者可能已经注意到,Amdocs(纳斯达克:DOX)的股价在过去三个月里大幅上涨了11%。我们想知道公司的财务状况是否在股价变动中扮演了什么角色,因为一家公司的长期基本面通常决定了市场的结果。特别是,我们将关注Amdocs今天的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

净资产收益率(ROE)是衡量公司增值和管理投资者资金有效性的测试。换句话说,它是一种盈利能力比率,用于衡量公司股东提供的资金回报率。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

The formula for return on equity is:

权益回报率的计算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Amdocs is:

所以,根据上述公式,Amdocs的roe为:

14% = US$512m ÷ US$3.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

14% = 51200万美元 ÷ 350亿美元(截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.14.

“回报”是指过去12个月的利润。这意味着,对于每1美元的股东投资,该公司将获得0.14美元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定,roe可以作为一种有效的衡量公司未来盈利能力的指标。现在我们需要评估公司再投资或“保留”的利润有多少,这就给我们提供了有关公司增长潜力的想法。假设其他一切不变,roe和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高,而不一定具备这些特征的公司相比。

A Side By Side comparison of Amdocs' Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

与Amdocs盈利增长和14%的ROE的并排对比

To begin with, Amdocs seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 13%. Despite this, Amdocs' five year net income growth was quite flat over the past five years. So, there could be some other aspects that could potentially be preventing the company from growing. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

首先,Amdocs的ROE似乎相当可观。此外,该公司的ROE与13%的行业平均水平相似。尽管如此,Amdocs过去五年的净利润增长相当平稳。因此,可能有一些其他方面可能正在阻止公司增长,例如,公司将其收益的大部分作为股息派发,或者面临竞争压力。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Amdocs' reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 8.3% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

接下来,与行业净利润增长进行比较,我们发现Amdocs的报告增长低于过去几年8.3%的行业增长,这并不是我们乐见的。

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NasdaqGS:DOX Past Earnings Growth September 7th 2024
纳斯达克GS:DOX过去盈利增长2024年9月7日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is DOX fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

盈利增长是股票估值的一个重要因素。对于投资者来说,了解市场是否已经将公司预期的盈利增长(或下降)计价在内是很重要的。通过这样做,他们将会知道股票是走向清澈的蓝水还是沼泽水。DOX是否被合理估值?这份公司内在价值的信息图表上有你需要知道的一切。

Is Amdocs Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

amdocs是否高效地再投资其利润?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 35% (meaning the company retains65% of profits) in the last three-year period, Amdocs' earnings growth was more or les flat. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

尽管在过去的三年期间,amdocs的中位数派息比率适中,为35%(这意味着公司保留了65%的利润),但其盈利增长几乎持平。因此,可能有一些其他原因解释了这种缺乏。例如,该业务可能正在衰退。

Additionally, Amdocs has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 29% of its profits over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Amdocs' future ROE will rise to 20% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,amdocs在至少过去十年里支付了股息,这意味着公司管理层决心支付股息,即使这意味着几乎没有盈利增长。根据最新的分析师共识数据,我们发现公司在未来三年内预计将支付约29%的利润。然而,预测表明尽管公司的派息比率不会发生太大变化,amdocs未来的roe将达到20%。

Conclusion

结论

In total, it does look like Amdocs has some positive aspects to its business. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体来看,Amdocs的业务确实有一些积极因素。尽管如此,我们对利润的增长缺乏满意,即使ROE和再投资率都很高。我们认为可能有一些外部因素对业务产生了负面影响。即便如此,根据当前的分析师预测,我们发现公司的盈利预计将获得势头。这些分析师的预期是基于行业的广泛预期还是公司的基本面?请点击此处查看我们的分析师预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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