SuperCom Ltd. (NASDAQ:SPCB) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 68% share price decline.
After such a large drop in price, SuperCom may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.7x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How Has SuperCom Performed Recently?
Recent times have been pleasing for SuperCom as its revenue has risen in spite of the industry's average revenue going into reverse. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to follow the rest of the industry downwards, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on SuperCom will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For SuperCom?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as SuperCom's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.2%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 142% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 12% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.0% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that SuperCom's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From SuperCom's P/S?
SuperCom's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Electronic companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
To us, it seems SuperCom currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.
Having said that, be aware SuperCom is showing 6 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 4 of those shouldn't be ignored.
If you're unsure about the strength of SuperCom's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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