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Pulling Back 8.3% This Week, Glacier Bancorp's NYSE:GBCI) One-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

Pulling Back 8.3% This Week, Glacier Bancorp's NYSE:GBCI) One-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

冰川万通金控(NYSE:GBCI)本周下跌8.3%,该公司一年内的收益下滑可能引起投资者的关注。
Simply Wall St ·  09/08 10:17

The simplest way to invest in stocks is to buy exchange traded funds. But investors can boost returns by picking market-beating companies to own shares in. To wit, the Glacier Bancorp, Inc. (NYSE:GBCI) share price is 51% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 19% (not including dividends) in the same period. If it can keep that out-performance up over the long term, investors will do very well! In contrast, the longer term returns are negative, since the share price is 14% lower than it was three years ago.

投资股票的最简单方法是购买交易所交易基金。但是,投资者可以通过选择市场领先的公司来持有股票,从而提高回报。换句话说,Glacier Bancorp, Inc.(纽约证券交易所代码:GBCI)的股价比去年同期上涨了51%,远高于同期约19%(不包括股息)的市场回报率。如果它能长期保持跑赢大盘的表现,那么投资者就会做得很好!相比之下,长期回报率为负,因为股价比三年前低了14%。

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 8.3%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

由于长期表现良好,但最近回调了8.3%,因此让我们检查一下基本面是否与股价相符。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

Over the last twelve months, Glacier Bancorp actually shrank its EPS by 34%.

在过去的十二个月中,Glacier Bancorp的每股收益实际上缩减了34%。

Given the share price gain, we doubt the market is measuring progress with EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

鉴于股价的上涨,我们怀疑市场是否在衡量每股收益的进展。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得研究其他指标。

Unfortunately Glacier Bancorp's fell 10% over twelve months. So the fundamental metrics don't provide an obvious explanation for the share price gain.

不幸的是,Glacier Bancorp在十二个月内下跌了10%因此,基本面指标并不能为股价上涨提供明显的解释。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。

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NYSE:GBCI Earnings and Revenue Growth September 8th 2024
纽约证券交易所:GBCI 收益和收入增长 2024 年 9 月 8 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Glacier Bancorp

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。但是,尽管首席执行官的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是公司未来能否增加收益。这份显示分析师预测的免费报告应该可以帮助你形成对Glacier Bancorp的看法

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Glacier Bancorp the TSR over the last 1 year was 57%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。我们注意到,Glacier Bancorp在过去一年的股东总回报率为57%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that Glacier Bancorp has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 57% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 4% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Glacier Bancorp , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

很高兴看到Glacier Bancorp在过去十二个月中向股东提供了57%的总股东回报率。这确实包括股息。由于一年期股东总回报率好于五年期股东总回报率(后者为每年4%),因此该股的表现似乎在最近有所改善。在最好的情况下,这可能暗示着一些真正的业务势头,这意味着现在可能是深入研究的好时机。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经向Glacier Bancorp确定了两个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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