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The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on DuPont De Nemours (NYSE:DD) Shareholders as Stock Falls 6.1% Over the Past Week

The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on DuPont De Nemours (NYSE:DD) Shareholders as Stock Falls 6.1% Over the Past Week

对于杜邦 (纽交所:DD) 股东来说,盈利连续三年下降可能正在对他们造成压力,过去一周该股下跌了6.1%。
Simply Wall St ·  09/08 10:56

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. Just take a look at DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (NYSE:DD), which is up 12%, over three years, soundly beating the market return of 9.8% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 7.0% in the last year, including dividends.

通过买入基金,您可以轻松地与市场回报大致相匹配。但是我们中的许多人都敢梦想更高的回报,并自己建立一个投资组合。只需看看杜邦公司(NYSE:DD),在过去的三年中上涨了12%,明显超过了9.8%的市场回报(不包括分红)。然而,最近的回报并不像那样令人印象深刻,股票在过去一年中的回报仅为7.0%,包括分红。

While the stock has fallen 6.1% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.

虽然本周股价下跌了6.1%,但更值得关注的是长期趋势,看看股票的历史回报是否受到基本面的驱动。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

虽然有效市场假说仍然被一些人教授,但被证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。检查市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是看一个公司的股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的交互作用。

During the three years of share price growth, DuPont de Nemours actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 27% per year.

在股价增长的三年中,杜邦公司的每股收益(EPS)每年下降27%。

The strong decline in earnings per share suggests the market isn't using EPS to judge the company. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

每股收益的大幅下降表明市场并未使用EPS来评价该公司。由于EPS的变化似乎与股价的变化不相关,所以值得研究其他指标。

Languishing at just 1.9%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 3.3% per year). The only thing that's clear is there is low correlation between DuPont de Nemours' share price and its historic fundamental data. Further research may be required!

在仅有1.9%的情况下,我们怀疑分红对支撑股价并没有太大帮助。可以想象,长期股东对不断下滑的营业收入趋势(每年下滑3.3%)感到如何。唯一清楚的是杜邦的股价与其历史基本数据之间存在较低的相关性。可能需要进一步研究!

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。

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NYSE:DD Earnings and Revenue Growth September 8th 2024
NYSE:DD盈利和营业收入增长于2024年9月8日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on DuPont de Nemours

值得注意的是,这位CEO的薪酬低于同等规模公司的中位数。但是,虽然CEO薪酬总是值得检查,但真正重要的问题是公司能否在未来增长盈利。这份免费报告展示了分析师的预测,应该有助于您对杜邦形成观点。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, DuPont de Nemours' TSR for the last 3 years was 19%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。TSR是一种考虑到现金股利价值(假设任何收到的股利都已再投资)以及在融资和分拆中计算的折现资本筹集价值的回报计算。可以说,TSR更全面地反映了股票带来的回报。事实上,杜邦过去3年的TSR为19%,超过了之前提到的股价回报。公司支付的分红因此提高了股东的总回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

DuPont de Nemours shareholders are up 7.0% for the year (even including dividends). But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 3% over half a decade It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand DuPont de Nemours better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - DuPont de Nemours has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

杜邦股东今年收益增长了7.0%(包括分红派息)。但是这低于市场平均水平。好在这仍然是一笔收益,并且实际上优于过去五年3%的平均回报。随着业务基本面的改善,未来收益有可能提高。跟踪股价长期表现总是很有趣的。但是要更好地了解杜邦股票,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,承担风险 - 杜邦股票存在3个警示信号,我们认为您应该注意。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您愿意查看另一家公司(具有潜在的更好财务状况),请不要错过这个免费的公司列表,证明它们可以增长收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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