Prolintas Infra Business Trust (PIBT) launched with a target price (TP) of RM1.13, supported by a BUY recommendation. The Trust encompasses four major intra-urban toll highways within the Klang Valley, collectively commanding a 15.7% market share by traffic volume as of 2021. This strategic positioning aligns with the expanding traffic volumes driven by economic growth and urbanisation in the region. PIBT is poised to offer investors both exposure to these growing traffic volumes and the prospect of sustainable, regular distributions.
The financial restructuring of PIBT, finalised with the Government in October 2022, is expected to yield positive outcomes. The restructuring includes planned toll rate increases in 2033 and 2043 for three of its toll highways, while one highway will not see any toll hikes. For FY24E, PIBT is forecasted to achieve a net profit of RM11 million, which will rise to RM12 million in FY25E, rebounding from an estimated headline net loss of RM276 million in FY23E. The trust's structure allows it to distribute dividends from distributable income rather than being constrained by accounting profits. For FY24E, PIBT plans to distribute RM70 million, translating to 6.4 sen per unit, with expectations for growth in future distributions.
The potential for further growth is significant, with the Trustee-Manager, Prolintas Managers Sdn Bhd, open to acquisitions of additional toll highways, both locally and internationally. Prolintas Managers Sdn Bhd, which also operates the Damansara-Shah Alam Elevated Highway (DASH) and the Sungai Besi-Ulu Kelang Elevated Expressway (SUKE), has granted PIBT the right of first refusal for future highway asset acquisitions from its major unitholder, Projek Lintasan Kota Holdings Sdn Bhd (PLKH).
PIBT's equity value is estimated at RM1.24 billion, supporting a TP of RM1.13. The equity value has been determined using the discounted cash flow (DCF) methodology, reflecting PIBT's stable cash flow generation. The future cash flows have been discounted at the consolidated equity cash flow level, post debt servicing, with an estimated cost of equity set at 11.2%. At the current share price of RM0.91, the projected upside of 31% underscores the trust's potential for substantial returns, reinforcing the BUY recommendation.
Prolintas Infra Business Trust(PIBT)推出,目标价(TP)为1.13马来西亚令吉,支持买入建议。该信托涵盖巴生谷内的四条主要城市间高速公路,截至2021年,交通量占有15.7%的市场份额。这一战略定位与该地区的经济增长和城市化推动的交通量增加相一致。PIBt有望为投资者提供增长中的交通量和可持续、常规分红的前景。
PIBt于2022年10月与政府完成了财务重组,预计将取得积极的成果。重组包括三条收费公路在2033年和2043年计划的收费率增加,而一条高速公路不会涨价。据预测,PIBt在预计2024财年将实现净利润1,100万马来西亚令吉,在2025财年将上升至1,200万马来西亚令吉,从预计2023财年的约2,7600万马来西亚令吉的净亏损中反弹。该信托的结构使其能够从可分配收入中分配股息,而不受会计利润的限制。预计2024财年,PIBt计划分发7000万马来西亚令吉,每单位相当于6.4仙,并预计未来分配将增长。
未来增长潜力巨大,Prolintas Managers Sdn Bhd (全称:Prolintas Infra Business Trust的托管人)愿意在本地和国际范围内收购其他收费公路。该公司还经营着白脚士-沙亚篮和双溪毛里托朗-武吉基兰高架大道,并授予PIBt第一次拒绝权,以从其主要单元持有人Projek Lintasan Kota Holdings Sdn Bhd(PLKH)处获得未来的高速公路资产收购权。
PIBT的股权价值估计为12.4亿马来西亚令吉,支持1.13马来西亚令吉的目标价。该股权价值是根据折现现金流(DCF)方法确定的,反映了PIBT稳定的现金流生成。未来现金流按照所偿还的债务后的合并股权现金流水平进行折现,预计权益成本率为11.2%。在当前股价0.91马来西亚令吉的情况下,预计的上涨空间为31%,强调了该信托具有丰厚回报潜力,强化了买入建议。