With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.4x W.W. Grainger, Inc. (NYSE:GWW) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 17x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been pleasing for W.W. Grainger as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
NYSE:GWW Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 9th 2024 If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on W.W. Grainger.
How Is W.W. Grainger's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, W.W. Grainger would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.2% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 126% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 7.4% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we find it concerning that W.W. Grainger is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From W.W. Grainger's P/E?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that W.W. Grainger currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - W.W. Grainger has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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