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CNR Vs CP: Which Canadian Railway Stock Wins?

CNR Vs CP: Which Canadian Railway Stock Wins?

CNR对CP:哪个加拿大铁路股票获胜?
The Motley Fool ·  09/09 16:00

Railroad stocks such as Canadian National Railway (TSX:CNR) and Canadian Pacific Kansas City (TSX:CP) have generated massive wealth for long-term shareholders. If we adjust for dividend reinvestments, Canadian National Railway has returned 1,380% to shareholders since September 2004, easily outpacing the TSX index gains of 403%. Comparatively, Canadian Pacific Kansas City stock has returned more than 2,000% in this period.

加拿大国家铁路(TSX: CNR)和加拿大太平洋堪萨斯城(TSX: CP)等铁路股票为长期股东创造了巨额财富。如果我们对股息再投资进行调整,自2004年9月以来,加拿大国家铁路已向股东回报了1,380%,轻松超过了多伦多证券交易所指数403%的涨幅。相比之下,加拿大太平洋堪萨斯城股票在此期间的回报率已超过2,000%。

However, as past returns shouldn't matter much to current and future shareholders, let's see which Canadian railroad stock is a better buy right now.

但是,由于过去的回报对当前和未来的股东来说应该并不重要,因此让我们看看现在哪只加拿大铁路股票更值得购买。

The bull case for Canadian National Railway stock

加拿大国家铁路股票的牛市案例

Valued at $98.5 billion by market cap, Canadian National Railway transports several products, such as petroleum, chemicals, grains, fertilizers, coal, metals, and minerals, as it serves exporters, retailers, farmers, and manufacturers, with a network of 19,500 route miles of track spanning Canada and the United States. Basically, Canadian National Railway is a TSX giant that enjoys a wide competitive moat.

按市值计算,加拿大国家铁路公司的市值为985亿美元,运输多种产品,例如石油、化学品、谷物、化肥、煤炭、金属和矿产,为出口商、零售商、农民和制造商提供服务,其轨道网络覆盖加拿大和美国,长达19,500英里。基本上,加拿大国家铁路公司是一家多伦多证券交易所的巨头,拥有广泛的竞争护城河。

Canadian National is a global transportation leader and trade enabler. It is essential to the North American economy, safely transporting 300 million tons of natural resources, manufactured products, and finished goods throughout the continent each year. The TSX heavyweight aims to create value for customers and shareholders by enhancing customer engagement and leveraging the strength of its expansive rail network.

加拿大国民是全球运输领导者和贸易推动者。它对北美经济至关重要,每年在整个非洲大陆安全地运送30000万吨自然资源、制成品和制成品。这家多伦多证券交易所的巨头旨在通过提高客户参与度和利用其庞大的铁路网络的优势为客户和股东创造价值。

With $52.7 billion in assets, Canadian National Railway reported sales of $16.8 billion in 2023. Moreover, it invested $3.1 billion in capital expenditures and reported a free cash flow of $3.9 billion.

加拿大国家铁路公司拥有527亿美元的资产,报告2023年销售额为168亿美元。此外,它在资本支出上投资了31亿美元,并报告了39亿美元的自由现金流。

Despite a challenging macro environment, Canadian National Railway increased its adjusted earnings per share by 5% year over year in the second quarter (Q2) of 2024. Moreover, earnings growth is expected in the mid- to high single-digit range this year.

尽管宏观环境充满挑战,但加拿大国家铁路在2024年第二季度(第二季度)调整后的每股收益同比增长了5%。此外,预计今年的收益增长将在中到较高的个位数区间内。

Canadian National Railway's free cash flow has risen from $2.05 billion in 2019 to $3.77 billion in 2023. In the last 12 months, its free cash flow has totalled $3.57 billion, while the company has spent less than $2 billion to pay shareholders a dividend, indicating a payout ratio of less than 60%.

加拿大国家铁路的自由现金流已从2019年的20.5亿美元增加到2023年的37.7亿美元。在过去的12个月中,其自由现金流总额为35.7亿美元,而该公司向股东支付股息的支出不到20亿美元,表明派息率低于60%。

Analysts remain bullish on CNR stock and expect it to surge over 15% in the next 12 months.

分析师仍然看好CNR的股票,并预计该股将在未来12个月内飙升15%以上。

The bull case for Canadian Pacific Kansas City stock

加拿大太平洋堪萨斯城股票的牛市案例

Valued at $105 billion by market cap, Canadian Pacific Kansas City operates over 20,000 route miles spanning three countries. Since 2011, the company has improved average train speed by 41%, while the average train weight and average train length have increased by 53% and 42%, respectively.

按市值计算,加拿大太平洋堪萨斯城的市值为1050亿美元,运营的航线里程超过20,000英里,横跨三个国家。自2011年以来,该公司已将平均列车速度提高了41%,而平均列车重量和平均列车长度分别增加了53%和42%。

Canadian Pacific Kansas City's precision railroading operating model and disciplined focus on execution have allowed it to better utilize its assets and deliver cash flow across market cycles.

加拿大太平洋堪萨斯城的精准铁路运营模式和对执行的严格关注使其能够更好地利用其资产,并在整个市场周期中提供现金流。

In Q2 of 2024, Canadian Pacific increased its sales by 14% year over year to $3.6 billion. It ended the June quarter with a healthy operating ratio of 64%, while adjusted earnings per share rose by 27% to $1.05. Comparatively, its operating expenses rose by just 5% year over year to $2.33 billion in Q2.

在2024年第二季度,加拿大太平洋公司的销售额同比增长14%,达到36亿美元。该公司在6月季度结束时运营比率良好,为64%,而调整后的每股收益增长了27%,至1.05美元。相比之下,其运营支出同比仅增长5%,达到第二季度的23.3亿美元。

Priced at 26 times forward earnings, CP stock is not too expensive, given analysts forecast earnings to grow by 13% annually in the next five years.

CP股票的定价为远期收益的26倍,并不太昂贵,因为分析师预测未来五年收益将每年增长13%。

The Foolish takeaway

愚蠢的外卖

Both Canadian National Railway and Canadian Pacific Kansas City are quality blue-chip companies that continue to grow their earnings and cash flow. Investors should consider gaining exposure to the two railroad leaders and benefit from consistent returns in the upcoming decade.

加拿大国家铁路公司和加拿大太平洋堪萨斯城公司都是优质的蓝筹公司,它们的收益和现金流持续增长。投资者应考虑增加对这两家铁路领导者的敞口,并在未来十年中受益于稳定的回报。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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