Here's Why Jiangsu High Hope International Group (SHSE:600981) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load
Here's Why Jiangsu High Hope International Group (SHSE:600981) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Jiangsu High Hope International Group Corporation (SHSE:600981) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
大卫·伊本说得很好,“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”当我们考虑一家公司有多大的风险时,我们总是喜欢看看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们可以看到江苏汇鸿集团(上海证券交易所代码:600981)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但股东们应该担心它的债务使用吗?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务可以帮助企业,直到企业无法还清债务,无论是通过新资本还是通过自由现金流。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法定义务,股东可能一无所获。然而,通常(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以便宜的股票价格稀释股东,才能控制债务。通过代替稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要看它的现金和债务情况。
What Is Jiangsu High Hope International Group's Net Debt?
江苏汇鸿集团的净债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Jiangsu High Hope International Group had debt of CN¥12.0b, up from CN¥11.0b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥6.69b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥5.33b.
下面的图片(点击可放大)显示,到2024年6月,江苏汇鸿集团的债务为120亿人民币,比一年前的110亿人民币增加了。另一方面,它有66.9亿人民币的现金,导致净债务约为53.3亿人民币。
How Strong Is Jiangsu High Hope International Group's Balance Sheet?
江苏汇鸿集团的资产负债表有多强大?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jiangsu High Hope International Group had liabilities of CN¥14.9b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥5.18b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥6.69b in cash and CN¥3.63b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥9.78b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
仔细观察最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,江苏汇鸿集团在12个月内有149亿人民币的短期债务,超过12个月有51.8亿人民币的长期债务。与此相抵消的是,它拥有66.9亿人民币的现金和36.3亿人民币的应收账款,这些款项在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额超过现金和短期应收账款的组合金额是97.8亿人民币。
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥4.19b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Jiangsu High Hope International Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
这种不足之处对于这家419亿人民币的公司本身来说压力很大,就像一个孩子扛着满满一袋书、体育装备和一支小号挣扎一样。因此,我们肯定认为股东们需要密切关注。毕竟,如果江苏汇鸿集团今天需要偿付债权人,很可能需要进行一次重大资本重组。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我们通过将公司的净债务与其息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)相除,并计算其息税前利润(EBIT)如何覆盖其利息费用(利息覆盖率)来衡量公司的债务负担相对于其盈利能力。因此,我们同时考虑债务的绝对数量以及所支付的利率。
Jiangsu High Hope International Group shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (8.9), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.4 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for Jiangsu High Hope International Group is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of CN¥441m, over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Jiangsu High Hope International Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
江苏汇鸿集团股东面临两个打击:净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)比例高(8.9),利息覆盖率相对较弱,因为EBIT仅为利息支出的2.4倍。这意味着我们认为它承受着沉重的债务负担。江苏汇鸿集团的一个救赎因素是,它将去年的EBIT亏损转变为过去12个月的44100万元盈利。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是一个明显的起点。但是,不能孤立地看待债务;因为江苏汇鸿集团需要盈利来偿还债务。因此,在考虑债务时,确实值得关注盈利趋势。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Jiangsu High Hope International Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润并不够用。因此,值得检查收益前的利息和税前利润(EBIT)有多少是由自由现金流支持的。在过去一年中,江苏汇鸿集团烧掉了大量现金。虽然投资者无疑期待着这种情况在不久的将来出现逆转,但这显然意味着它对债务的利用更具风险。
Our View
我们的观点
On the face of it, Jiangsu High Hope International Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Jiangsu High Hope International Group has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Jiangsu High Hope International Group you should be aware of.
乍一看,江苏汇鸿集团从EBIT转为自由现金流让我们对股票持谨慎态度,其总负债水平也不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚上最空的餐厅诱人。但至少其EBIT增长率并不算差。考虑到所有上述因素,江苏汇鸿集团的债务似乎太多了。这种风险对某些人来说没问题,但对我们来说确实不合适。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要重点关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。案例证明:我们已发现江苏汇鸿集团存在 2 个警示信号,你应该注意。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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