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Investors Three-year Losses Continue as Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical (SHSE:600618) Dips a Further 5.0% This Week, Earnings Continue to Decline

Investors Three-year Losses Continue as Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical (SHSE:600618) Dips a Further 5.0% This Week, Earnings Continue to Decline

投资者的三年损失持续,上海氯碱b股(SHSE:600618)本周再下跌5.0%,收益继续下降。
Simply Wall St ·  09/10 16:15

The truth is that if you invest for long enough, you're going to end up with some losing stocks. But long term Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600618) shareholders have had a particularly rough ride in the last three year. So they might be feeling emotional about the 59% share price collapse, in that time. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 21% in the last 90 days. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 12% in the same period.

事实是,如果你投资足够长的时间,你最终会有一些亏损的股票。但是,从长远来看,上海氯碱化工有限公司(SHSE: 600618)的股东在过去三年中经历了特别艰难的经历。因此,他们可能会对那段时间股价暴跌59%感到激动。股东们最近的表现更加艰难,股价在过去90天中下跌了21%。但这可能与疲软的市场有关,同期市场下跌了12%。

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

如果说过去一周有意义的话,投资者对上海氯碱化工的情绪并不乐观,所以让我们看看基本面和股价之间是否存在不匹配的情况。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 9.7% per year, over the last three years. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 25% annual reduction in the share price. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. This increased caution is also evident in the rather low P/E ratio, which is sitting at 10.32.

在过去三年中,上海氯碱化工的每股收益复合下降幅度为每年9.7%。每股收益的下降低于股价每年25%的降幅。因此,过去市场似乎对该业务过于自信。这种更加谨慎的态度也体现在相当低的市盈率上,该比率为10.32。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到 EPS 随时间推移的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。

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SHSE:600618 Earnings Per Share Growth September 10th 2024
SHSE: 600618 每股收益增长 2024 年 9 月 10 日

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,可在此处查阅。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical, it has a TSR of -55% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。就上海氯碱化工而言,其过去三年的股东回报率为-55%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 15% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 20%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 1.3% for each year. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管亏损从来都不是一件好事,但上海氯碱化工的股东可以放心,包括股息在内,他们过去十二个月的15%亏损没有20%左右的市场亏损那么严重。当然,长期回报要重要得多,好消息是,在过去的五年中,该股每年的回报率为1.3%。在最好的情况下,去年只是通往更光明未来之旅中的一个暂时阶段。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经确定了上海氯碱化工的一个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然,通过寻找其他地方,你可能会找到一笔不错的投资。因此,请看一下我们预计收益将增加的这份免费公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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