Even After Rising 7.1% This Past Week, China High-Speed Railway Technology (SZSE:000008) Shareholders Are Still Down 41% Over the Past Five Years
Even After Rising 7.1% This Past Week, China High-Speed Railway Technology (SZSE:000008) Shareholders Are Still Down 41% Over the Past Five Years
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term China High-Speed Railway Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000008) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 41% over a half decade. But it's up 7.1% in the last week.
为了证明选择个股的努力是合理的,值得努力超过市场指数基金的回报。但是主要的游戏是找到足够的赢家来抵消输家。因此,我们不会责怪中国高速铁路技术股份有限公司(SZSE:000008)的长期股东对他们的持股决定表示怀疑,该股在五年内下跌了41%。但上周上涨了7.1%。
While the last five years has been tough for China High-Speed Railway Technology shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.
尽管过去五年对中国高速铁路科技股东来说是艰难的,但过去一周显示出希望的迹象。因此,让我们来看看长期基本面,看看它们是否是负回报的驱动力。
Given that China High-Speed Railway Technology didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.
鉴于中国高铁科技在过去十二个月中没有盈利,我们将专注于收入增长,以快速了解其业务发展。无利可图的公司的股东通常希望强劲的收入增长。那是因为如果收入增长可以忽略不计,而且从不盈利,就很难确信一家公司能否实现可持续发展。
In the last five years China High-Speed Railway Technology saw its revenue shrink by 6.5% per year. That's not what investors generally want to see. The stock hasn't done well for shareholders in the last five years, falling 7%, annualized. Unfortunately, though, it makes sense given the lack of either profits or revenue growth. Without profits, its hard to see how shareholders win if the revenue keeps falling.
在过去的五年中,中国高速铁路科技的收入每年下降6.5%。这不是投资者普遍希望看到的。该股在过去五年中对股东表现不佳,按年计算下跌了7%。但不幸的是,鉴于缺乏利润或收入增长,这是有道理的。没有利润,如果收入持续下降,就很难看出股东如何获胜。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了收入和收入随时间推移的跟踪情况(如果您点击图片,可以看到更多细节)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。但是,尽管首席执行官的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是公司未来能否增加收益。在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,请点击此处。
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
Although it hurts that China High-Speed Railway Technology returned a loss of 15% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 20%. Given the total loss of 7% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with China High-Speed Railway Technology , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
尽管中国高速铁路技术在过去十二个月中回报了15%的亏损令人痛心,但整个市场实际上更糟,亏损了20%。鉴于五年内每年的总损失为7%,在过去的十二个月中,回报似乎有所恶化。尽管一些投资者在专门收购陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表现良好,但不要忘记巴菲特说过 “转机很少会转机”。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经确定了中国高铁科技的1个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
Of course China High-Speed Railway Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
当然,中国高铁科技可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,您可能希望看到这批免费的成长股。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。