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Dongfeng Motor Group (HKG:489 Shareholders Incur Further Losses as Stock Declines 9.0% This Week, Taking Five-year Losses to 69%

Dongfeng Motor Group (HKG:489 Shareholders Incur Further Losses as Stock Declines 9.0% This Week, Taking Five-year Losses to 69%

东风汽车集团(HKG:489)股东本周股价下跌9.0%,近五年的损失达到69%
Simply Wall St ·  09/10 19:56

Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But along the way some stocks are going to perform badly. For example the Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited (HKG:489) share price dropped 77% over five years. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 36% over the last twelve months. Furthermore, it's down 17% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 8.6% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

从统计学上讲,长期投资是一项有利可图的活动。但在此过程中,一些股票将表现不佳。例如,东风汽车集团有限公司(HKG: 489)的股价在五年内下跌了77%。对于在接近顶部买入的股东,我们当然有同感。我们怀疑长期信徒是唯一担心的持有者,因为股价在过去十二个月中下跌了36%。此外,它在大约一个季度内下降了17%。对于持有者来说,这并不好玩。当然,这种股价走势很可能受到了整个时期大盘下跌8.6%的影响。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鉴于过去一周对股东来说很艰难,让我们调查一下基本面,看看我们能学到什么。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是能反映潜在的业务表现。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

Over five years Dongfeng Motor Group's earnings per share dropped significantly, falling to a loss, with the share price also lower. Since the company has fallen to a loss making position, it's hard to compare the change in EPS with the share price change. But we would generally expect a lower price, given the situation.

在过去的五年中,东风汽车集团的每股收益大幅下降,跌至亏损,股价也有所下降。由于该公司已跌至亏损状态,因此很难将每股收益的变化与股价的变化进行比较。但是,鉴于这种情况,我们通常预计价格会更低。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的每股收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

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SEHK:489 Earnings Per Share Growth September 10th 2024
香港交易所:489 年每股收益增长 2024 年 9 月 10 日

This free interactive report on Dongfeng Motor Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想进一步调查东风汽车集团的收益、收入和现金流,这份关于东风汽车集团收益、收入和现金流的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Dongfeng Motor Group's TSR for the last 5 years was -69%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,东风汽车集团过去5年的股东总回报率为-69%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Investors in Dongfeng Motor Group had a tough year, with a total loss of 36% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 1.6%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 11% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Dongfeng Motor Group you should know about.

东风汽车集团的投资者经历了艰难的一年,总亏损了36%(包括股息),而市场涨幅约为1.6%。即使是优质股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在过于感兴趣之前看到企业基本指标的改善。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中11%的年化亏损还要糟糕。总的来说,长期股价疲软可能是一个坏兆头,尽管逆势投资者可能希望研究该股以期出现转机。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,考虑风险。每家公司都有它们,我们发现了你应该知道的东风汽车集团的1个警告标志。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找获利投资的人来说,这份最近进行内幕收购的被低估公司的免费清单可能只是入场券。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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