Ningbo Color Master Batch's (SZSE:301019) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations
Ningbo Color Master Batch's (SZSE:301019) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations
Ningbo Color Master Batch Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301019) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.
宁波色母粒有限公司's(深圳证券交易所代码:301019)健康的利润数字并没有让投资者感到意外。我们认为这是由于投资者将目光投向了法定利润之外并关注他们所看到的情况。
A Closer Look At Ningbo Color Master Batch's Earnings
仔细看看宁波色母批的收益
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
在高级财务中,用于衡量公司将报告的利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流超过了其利润所暗示的水平。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长减少。
For the year to June 2024, Ningbo Color Master Batch had an accrual ratio of 0.21. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥23m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN¥104.1m. Ningbo Color Master Batch's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, but it may bounce back next year, since free cash flow is often more volatile than accounting profits. The good news for shareholders is that Ningbo Color Master Batch's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
在截至2024年6月的一年中,宁波色母批的应计率为0.21。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流大大低于其法定利润,这并不是一件好事。实际上,它去年的自由现金流为2300万元人民币,远低于其10410万元人民币的法定利润。Ningbo Color Master Batch的自由现金流实际上在去年有所下降,但明年可能会反弹,因为自由现金流通常比会计利润更具波动性。对股东来说,好消息是,宁波色母批去年的应计比率要好得多,因此今年的糟糕数据可能只是利润与FCF之间短期不匹配的情况。如果确实如此,股东应寻求在本年度的现金流相对于利润的改善。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Ningbo Color Master Batch.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对宁波色母批的资产负债表分析。
Our Take On Ningbo Color Master Batch's Profit Performance
我们对宁波色母批次利润表现的看法
Ningbo Color Master Batch didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Ningbo Color Master Batch's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 29% EPS growth in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Ningbo Color Master Batch at this point in time. Be aware that Ningbo Color Master Batch is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant...
去年,宁波Color Master Batch没有将其大部分利润转换为自由现金流,一些投资者可能认为这种情况相当不理想。因此,我们认为可能是宁波色母批的法定利润要好于其基础盈利能力。但是,至少持有人可以从去年29%的每股收益增长中得到一些安慰。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,必须考虑的不仅仅是上述因素。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑宁波色母批当前面临的风险同样重要。请注意,Ningbo Color Master Batch在我们的投资分析中显示了3个警告信号,其中2个有点令人不快...
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Ningbo Color Master Batch's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
今天,我们放大了单个数据点,以更好地了解宁波色母批次利润的性质。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这份拥有高股本回报率的公司的免费集合,或者这份内部所有权高的股票清单。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。