Daphne International Holdings' (HKG:210) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest
Daphne International Holdings' (HKG:210) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest
When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like Daphne International Holdings Limited's (HKG:210) stock has recently. We have done some analysis, and we found several positive factors beyond the profit numbers.
当公司发布强劲的业绩时,股票通常表现良好,就像达芙妮国际控股有限公司(HKG:210)的股票最近表现出色。我们进行了一些分析,并发现了一些正面因素,超过了利润数字.
A Closer Look At Daphne International Holdings' Earnings
对达芙妮国际控股公司盈利的近距离观察
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
很多投资者没有听说过现金流量的应计比率,但它实际上是一个衡量公司利润在一个给定期间内由自由现金流(FCF)支持的有用指标。为了获得应计比率,首先我们需要从一个期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均营运资产。该比率显示公司利润超过FCF的多少。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,负的应计比率对公司是有利的,而正的应计比率则有害。虽然应计比率高于零不是什么大问题,但当一家公司的应计比率相对较高时,我们认为值得注意。因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润较低或利润增长较少。
For the year to June 2024, Daphne International Holdings had an accrual ratio of -0.11. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥117m, well over the CN¥83.5m it reported in profit. Daphne International Holdings shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not the end of the story. We must also consider the impact of unusual items on statutory profit (and thus the accrual ratio), as well as note the ramifications of the company issuing new shares.
截至2024年6月,达芙妮国际控股的应计比率为-0.11。因此,其法定利润要比自由现金流少得多。事实上,在过去的12个月里,它报告的自由现金流为1,1700万人民币,远远超过了8350万元的利润。达芙妮国际控股的股东无疑对过去12个月的自由现金流改善感到满意。然而,这还不是故事的结局。我们还必须考虑非常规项目对法定利润(因此是应计比率)的影响,以及公司发行新股的影响。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Daphne International Holdings.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击这里查看我们对达芙妮国际控股的资产负债表分析。
To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. As it happens, Daphne International Holdings issued 9.1% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Daphne International Holdings' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
了解公司盈利增长的价值,必须考虑股东权益的稀释。事实上,达芙妮国际控股在过去一年中发行了更多的新股,比去年多了9.1%。这意味着其盈利分配给更多的股份。如果只关注净利润而忽略稀释,就像因为有了一小块更大的披萨而欢庆一样,忽略了披萨现在切成了更多的片。点击这个链接查看达芙妮国际控股的历史每股收益增长。
How Is Dilution Impacting Daphne International Holdings' Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
稀释对达芙妮国际控股每股收益(EPS)的影响是如何的?
Three years ago, Daphne International Holdings lost money. On the bright side, in the last twelve months it grew profit by 76%. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 65% over the same period. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.
三年前,达芙妮国际控股亏损。好消息是,在过去的12个月里,其利润增长了76%。然而,同期每股收益仅增长了65%。因此,可以清楚地看到,稀释正在影响股东的收益。
Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So Daphne International Holdings shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
从长远来看,股价的变动确实反映了每股收益的变动。因此,达芙妮国际控股的股东希望看到每股收益持续增长。然而,如果其利润增加而每股收益保持不变(甚至下降),那么股东可能不会获得太多利益。对于普通零售股东来说,每股收益是一个很好的指标,可以检查您在公司利润中所占的“份额”。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。
Daphne International Holdings' profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥9.7m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Daphne International Holdings to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.
在过去的12个月中,达芙妮国际控股的利润因价值970万人民币的非一般项目而减少,这帮助其产生了较高的现金转换率,正如其一般项目所反映的那样。在这种情况下,假设这些非一般项目包括非现金费用,我们将会看到较高的应计比率,这正是本例中所发生的。看过成千上万上市公司的情况后,我们发现非一般项目往往是一次性的。这并不奇怪,因为这些项目被认为是非一般性的。假设这些非一般开支不再出现,我们因此预计达芙妮国际控股会在明年产生更高的利润,其他条件不变。
Our Take On Daphne International Holdings' Profit Performance
关于达芙妮国际控股的盈利表现,我们的看法
In conclusion, both Daphne International Holdings' accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative, but the dilution means that per-share performance is weaker than the statutory profit numbers imply. Looking at all these factors, we'd say that Daphne International Holdings' underlying earnings power is at least as good as the statutory numbers would make it seem. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Daphne International Holdings.
总之,达芙妮国际控股的应计比率和其不寻常的项目表明,其法定收益可能相对保守,但稀释意味着每股绩效弱于法定利润数字所暗示的。综合考虑所有这些因素,我们认为达芙妮国际控股的基础盈利能力至少和法定数字所表现的一样好。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。例如,我们发现了3个预警信号,您应该仔细研究以更全面地了解达芙妮国际控股。
Our examination of Daphne International Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And it has passed with flying colours. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
我们对达芙妮国际控股的审查着重关注了使其盈利看起来比实际更好的某些因素。事实证明,它通过了考验。但还有很多其他方法来了解公司。例如,许多人认为股权回报率高是有利的商业经济的指标,而其他人则喜欢‘追踪资金’,寻找内部人员在购买的股票。虽然这可能需要您做一些研究,但您可能会发现这个免费的公司收藏中那些自豪地拥有高股权回报率的公司,或者这份拥有重大内部持股的股票清单会有所帮助。
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