When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 27x, you may consider CTS International Logistics Corporation Limited (SHSE:603128) as a highly attractive investment with its 11.6x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for CTS International Logistics as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
CTS International Logistics' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 27%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 24% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 16% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 20% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why CTS International Logistics is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From CTS International Logistics' P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that CTS International Logistics maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for CTS International Logistics that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on CTS International Logistics, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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