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We Think Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为美泰(纳斯达克:MAT)可以保持其债务控制在顶端
Simply Wall St ·  09/12 14:33

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

当David Iben说'波动性并不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本永久损失。'时,他表达得很到位。因此,看来聪明的资金知道,债务(通常与破产有关)是评估一家公司风险程度时非常重要的因素。我们可以看到美泰(NASDAQ:MAT)在业务中确实使用了债务。但股东们应该担心其使用债务吗?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

当公司不具备通过自由现金流或以优惠的股价提高资金的能力时,债务和其他负债便会为企业带来风险。如果情况严重,借贷人甚至可以接管企业。然而,一种更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须因为控制债务而以低廉的股价稀释股东。当然,债务对创业板的企业尤为重要。当我们思考一个公司的债务使用时,首先要考虑现金和债务的总和。

What Is Mattel's Net Debt?

美泰公司的净债务是多少?

As you can see below, Mattel had US$2.33b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$722.4m, its net debt is less, at about US$1.61b.

如下所示,截至2024年6月,美泰有23.3亿美元的债务,与前一年相当。您可以点击图表以获得更多详细信息。但由于其现金储备为72240万美元,净债务较小,约为16.1亿美元。

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NasdaqGS:MAT Debt to Equity History September 12th 2024
纳斯达克:美泰资产负债历史数据(2024年9月12日)

How Healthy Is Mattel's Balance Sheet?

美泰公司的资产负债表健康状况如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Mattel had liabilities of US$1.01b due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.92b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$722.4m and US$839.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.37b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,美泰的短期负债为10.1亿美元,长期负债为29.2亿美元。另一方面,其现金为72240万美元,短期应收账款为83940万美元。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款还多23.7亿美元。

Mattel has a market capitalization of US$6.20b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

美泰的市值为62亿美元,因此如果需要,它很有可能筹集资金改善其资产负债表。但我们绝对要密切关注其债务带来的风险。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

BJ批发俱乐部控股公司的净债务只有EBITDA的0.62倍。而其EBIT轻松覆盖其利息费用,比例为12.6倍。因此,我们对其超级保守的债务使用感到相当放心。虽然BJ批发俱乐部控股公司在EBIT方面没有取得太多进展,但至少其盈利保持稳定。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显然的切入点。但归根结底,企业未来的盈利能力将决定BJ批发俱乐部控股公司能否随着时间的推移加强资产负债表。因此,如果你要关注未来,可以查看一下这份免费的分析报告,了解分析师的盈利预测。

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.7, Mattel uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 8.7 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. It is well worth noting that Mattel's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 47% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Mattel's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

美泰的债务与息税前利润之比为1.7,它巧妙而负责地利用债务。而其诱人的利息覆盖率(息税前利润相比利息支出的倍数为8.7倍)无疑也没有消除这种印象。值得注意的是,过去12个月里,美泰的息税前利润经历了极快的增长,增长了47%。这将使其更容易管理其债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上了解到的关于债务的大部分信息。但最重要的是,未来的盈利将决定美泰维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看对分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Mattel produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 66% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最后,虽然税务部门可能崇拜会计利润,但债权人只接受冷硬现金。因此,合理的做法是查看与实际自由现金流相匹配的息税前利润的比例。在过去三年里,美泰产生了相当可靠的自由现金流,相当于其息税前利润的66%,与我们预期的相符合。这笔冷硬现金意味着美泰可以在需要时减少债务。

Our View

我们的观点

Mattel's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Mattel takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Mattel that you should be aware of.

美泰的EBIt增长率表明它能够像C罗对待14岁以下守门员一样轻松处理债务。这只是好消息的开始,因为它的EBIt转换为自由现金流也非常令人鼓舞。综合考虑所有这些数据,我们认为美泰在处理债务方面采取了相当明智的方法。虽然这带来一些风险,但也可以增加股东的回报。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解最多的是债务情况。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表之中-远非如此。例如,我们已经发现了一项针对美泰的警示信号,你应该注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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