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We Think Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical (SHSE:600486) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical (SHSE:600486) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为扬农化工(SHSE:600486)可以继续控制其债务
Simply Wall St ·  09/12 18:45

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600486) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们注意到,江苏扬农化工有限公司(SHSE: 600486)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical's Net Debt?

江苏扬农化工的净负债是多少?

As you can see below, Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical had CN¥550.0m of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥807.3m a year prior. But on the other hand it also has CN¥4.30b in cash, leading to a CN¥3.75b net cash position.

如下所示,截至2024年6月,江苏扬农化工的债务为55000万元人民币,低于去年同期的80730万加元。但另一方面,它也有43元人民币的现金,净现金状况为37.5元人民币。

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SHSE:600486 Debt to Equity History September 12th 2024
SHSE: 600486 2024 年 9 月 12 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

A Look At Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical's Liabilities

看看江苏扬农化工的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical had liabilities of CN¥6.70b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥281.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.30b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.56b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥872.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,江苏扬农化工的负债为67元人民币,一年后到期的负债为28150万元人民币。抵消这些债务后,该公司有43元人民币的现金以及价值35.6元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的流动资产实际上比总负债多出87240万元人民币。

This surplus suggests that Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种盈余表明,江苏扬农化工的资产负债表很保守,可以毫不费力地消除债务。简而言之,江苏扬农化工拥有净现金,所以可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

It is just as well that Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 26% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

同样重要的是,江苏扬农化工的负荷并不太重,因为其息税前利润比去年下降了26%。当一家公司看到盈利下降时,它有时会发现与贷款机构的关系恶化。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定江苏扬农化工能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 68% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。江苏扬农化工资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,江苏扬农化工产生了稳健的自由现金流,相当于其息税前利润的68%,与我们的预期差不多。这种自由现金流使公司处于有利地位,可以在适当的时候偿还债务。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical has net cash of CN¥3.75b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥599m, being 68% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

虽然我们同情那些认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,江苏扬农化工的净现金为37.5元人民币,流动资产也多于负债。它的自由现金流为59900万元人民币,占其息税前利润的68%,给我们留下了深刻的印象。因此,我们对江苏扬农化工的债务使用并不感到困扰。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。我们已经向江苏扬农化工确定了一个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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